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<blockquote data-quote="Nagol" data-source="post: 6069405" data-attributes="member: 23935">It's hard, actually.&nbsp; The expected damage is pD where p is the probability of landing the blow and D is the damage range.&nbsp; p is dependent on the defender's AC as much as it is the attacker's bonus.&nbsp; Worse, the attack probabilities are bounded between 5% and 95% and the range of variation is up to 75% for the bonuses.Dealing with same bonus attacks is simple.&nbsp; When trying to extrapolate to different bonuses, you have to try to consider the effect the bounded probabiliites have.&nbsp; Does a +16 attack hit x + 75% more frequently than a +1 or has one of the attacks hit the bounds of the game?A set of extrapolated adjustments can be made for the attack sequence against any specific AC, but each AC will have a different expected damage range for the single attack.Dropping to a single attack also makes the critter much more swingy on a round-by-round basis as well and that is often not a desireable feature.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Nagol, post: 6069405, member: 23935"] It's hard, actually. The expected damage is pD where p is the probability of landing the blow and D is the damage range. p is dependent on the defender's AC as much as it is the attacker's bonus. Worse, the attack probabilities are bounded between 5% and 95% and the range of variation is up to 75% for the bonuses. Dealing with same bonus attacks is simple. When trying to extrapolate to different bonuses, you have to try to consider the effect the bounded probabiliites have. Does a +16 attack hit x + 75% more frequently than a +1 or has one of the attacks hit the bounds of the game? A set of extrapolated adjustments can be made for the attack sequence against any specific AC, but each AC will have a different expected damage range for the single attack. Dropping to a single attack also makes the critter much more swingy on a round-by-round basis as well and that is often not a desireable feature. [/QUOTE]

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