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Message: <blockquote data-quote="TikkchikFenTikktikk" data-source="post: 5210180" data-attributes="member: 67494">Chance To Hit (%) = ( ( ( 10.5 + to hit mods ) - defense ) * 5 ) + 50PCs should hit 60–75% of the time to keep players happy.Increasing monster accuracy and damage increases the challenge of staying alive.I personally like to have monsters hit 60-75% of the time and do enough damage to take an average creature of their level to 0hp in 4-6 hits.Meandering explanation that may or may not make things easier to understand follows:To easily estimate a PC's chance to hit, just count how many points the expected result of their roll to hit is above or below the target defense. Each point above adds 5% to their chance to hit, while each point below substracts 5%. If the numbers are equal it is a coin flip.Example: Melech, a 7th-level tiefling wizard, attempts to hit three enemies with fireball, an Intelligence vs. Reflex attack. Hit attack roll against each target gets a +10 bonus, which includes +3 for one-half his level, his +5 Intelligence modifier, the +1 feat bonus from Hellfire Blood, and the +1 enhancement bonus from his +1 wand of witchfire. He could add a +2 bonus from his Wand of Accuracy class feature against one of his targets and a +1 racial bonus against any bloodied targets from his Bloodhunt racial trait. [Editor's Note: This is from the PHB and worked--if I recall--before the recent tiefling rules updates. It is late here and I have quaffed a sufficient amount of quality wine tonight. I'll edit as I see corrections in the thread late tomorrow. ;-)]So we expect Melech's roll to result in 20.5 (the expected value of rolling a d20 is 10.5), ignoring the conditional bonuses for the moment.If Melech is trying to hit three Ogre Ironclads (Level 9 Soldier, MM3) he might be in trouble. They have Reflex 21, so trying to hit them is slightly worse than a coin flip (only 47.5% chance to hit). It's just slightly better if he uses his Wand of Accuracy (57.5%) or one of them is bloodied (52.5%). If he uses Wand of Accuracy against a bloodied target Melech's chance to hit is 62.5%.IMHO, my player's are happiest if they miss no more than once every 4-6 turns, which is about a 60-75% chance to hit their target. If I'm playing fair, by my personal definition, my monsters will hit that often as well. Also IMHO, both sides should be doing damage to take an average creature of their level down in 4-6 rounds.[Editor's note: I don't think I have ever used a monster stat block as printed, except for one time I picked up a published adventure cold to run for a pick-up session. Actually, even then I dropped monster HP and defenses and increased accuracy and damage. So... what was my point? Sorry.]</blockquote>

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