Reply to thread

Message

<blockquote data-quote="Umbran" data-source="post: 5525960" data-attributes="member: 177">I am not sure sarcasm qualifies as a thought process.&nbsp; Sarcasm is a mode of expression.&nbsp; Do you mean skepticism, or cynicism, is a valid thought process?Or, in English: &quot;Correlation does not imply causation.&quot; It may not be quite as you think - the human decision machine is designed originally to deal with 1)short term issues and 2)paltry information.&nbsp; Basically, we are geared to jump to conclusions because our system is originally designed to deal with immediate crises like, &quot;How do I avoid that leopard?&quot; and &quot;Should I spit out this mouthful of questionable food?&quot;&nbsp; For fast decision making, &quot;going with your gut&quot; is usually a pretty good idea, as your gut-feelings developed to serve exactly that need. As the amount of information and the time for risk to develop increases, the ability of our ingrained systems to deal with them decreases, and we can be fooled by injecting an emotional component into the data.Yes.&nbsp; And, ironically, in some cases the superstition is the source of causation:&quot;I always bowl better when I wear my lucky bowling shirt,&quot; may well be true - the very fact that you think it is lucky can change your state of mind enough to affect your performance bowling.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Umbran, post: 5525960, member: 177"] I am not sure sarcasm qualifies as a thought process. Sarcasm is a mode of expression. Do you mean skepticism, or cynicism, is a valid thought process? Or, in English: "Correlation does not imply causation." It may not be quite as you think - the human decision machine is designed originally to deal with 1)short term issues and 2)paltry information. Basically, we are geared to jump to conclusions because our system is originally designed to deal with immediate crises like, "How do I avoid that leopard?" and "Should I spit out this mouthful of questionable food?" For fast decision making, "going with your gut" is usually a pretty good idea, as your gut-feelings developed to serve exactly that need. As the amount of information and the time for risk to develop increases, the ability of our ingrained systems to deal with them decreases, and we can be fooled by injecting an emotional component into the data. Yes. And, ironically, in some cases the superstition is the source of causation: "I always bowl better when I wear my lucky bowling shirt," may well be true - the very fact that you think it is lucky can change your state of mind enough to affect your performance bowling. [/QUOTE]

Verification