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<blockquote data-quote="Dracorat" data-source="post: 3116441" data-attributes="member: 40170">At level 3 (when you can cast it, since you are focusing your argument on lower level play generally) you get an average of 3.5 images. Let's call it 4. That's an 80% chance to be missed the first time. (1:5) Now, cleave off the hit and the second attack has a 75% (1:4) chance to miss.That means the chance to hit you was 20% and 25%.Now, .8 * .75 = .60 or a 60% chance to be missed. With one fighter attack allowed one cleave only, and only after the first attack. Not too shabby. But that's for one attack only.Now, if the images were 3 instead of 4, the math is .75 * .67 = 50% chance to be missed. On the first round.Now, take it a step further. Blur will last 30 rounds period.Assuming you get an image popped once per round until you run out of images, then you are hit 100% of the time, but with blur, you are hit 4/5 times for 30 rounds (it's duration) then by probability, mirror image is a poor choice starting in the following rounds:[code]Round&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 2&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 3&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 5&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 6&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 7&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 9&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 10&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 114 Miss %&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 0.6&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.5&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.333333333&nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp;Hit %&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 0.4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.5&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.666666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp;Mit Dmg&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 0.4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.9&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 2.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 3.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 4.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 5.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 6.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 7.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 8.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 9.566666667&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 3 Miss %&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 0.5&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.333333333&nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0&nbsp;Hit %&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 0.5&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.666666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1&nbsp;Mit Dmg&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; 0.5&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 2.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 3.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 4.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 5.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 6.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 7.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 8.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 9.166666667&nbsp; &nbsp; 10.1666666720% evasion&nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp;MitDmg&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 0.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1.6&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 2.4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 3.2&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 4.8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 5.6&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 6.4&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 7.2&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 8&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 8.8[/code]Blur pays off after 7 rounds for comparison to 4 starting images and 5 rounds when you start with 3 images.Even though you get more images at higher levels, when you couple in additional strikes for fighters, the stats get worse, not better. Add a great cleave and mirror image almost never lasts past the first round.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Dracorat, post: 3116441, member: 40170"] At level 3 (when you can cast it, since you are focusing your argument on lower level play generally) you get an average of 3.5 images. Let's call it 4. That's an 80% chance to be missed [i]the first time[/i]. (1:5) Now, cleave off the hit and the second attack has a 75% (1:4) chance to miss. That means the chance to hit you was 20% and 25%. Now, .8 * .75 = .60 or a 60% chance to be missed. With one fighter attack allowed one cleave only, and only after the first attack. Not too shabby. But that's for one attack only. Now, if the images were 3 instead of 4, the math is .75 * .67 = 50% chance to be missed. On the first round. Now, take it a step further. Blur will last 30 rounds period. Assuming you get an image popped once per round until you run out of images, then you are hit 100% of the time, but with blur, you are hit 4/5 times for 30 rounds (it's duration) then by probability, mirror image is a poor choice starting in the following rounds: [code] Round 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 4 Miss % 0.6 0.5 0.333333333 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hit % 0.4 0.5 0.666666667 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Mit Dmg 0.4 0.9 1.566666667 2.566666667 3.566666667 4.566666667 5.566666667 6.566666667 7.566666667 8.566666667 9.566666667 3 Miss % 0.5 0.333333333 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hit % 0.5 0.666666667 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Mit Dmg 0.5 1.166666667 2.166666667 3.166666667 4.166666667 5.166666667 6.166666667 7.166666667 8.166666667 9.166666667 10.16666667 20% evasion 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 MitDmg 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 4 4.8 5.6 6.4 7.2 8 8.8 [/code] Blur pays off after 7 rounds for comparison to 4 starting images and 5 rounds when you start with 3 images. Even though you get more images at higher levels, when you couple in additional strikes for fighters, the stats get worse, not better. Add a great cleave and mirror image almost never lasts past the first round. [/QUOTE]

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