Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="Maggan" data-source="post: 4175104" data-attributes="member: 6616">I don't believe for a minute that WotC are gambling on an above 90% retention of players through this edition shift. It won't happen, and not just because there's a new edition, but because the majority of players of D&D aren't lifetime D&D:ers.They play it for a while, change interests, start doing other things, buy a house, get kids, or a gazillion other things, and drop out of playing D&D.So I think that it is guaranteed that at least 10%, and in my mind closer to 25% of the current batch of D&D players will not come along to the fourth edition, mainly because they have or are about to drop gaming as a hobby anyways.It's not a low retention that's gonna kill 4e, it's low recruitment numbers. If that happens, then WotC has a problem. Sure, a high retention number will help immensely, and they are hoping for lots and lots of players to come along. But not 90%. And certainly not on day 1. It's a gradual process.At least that's what I think seems likely.  <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f600.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":D" title="Big grin    :D"  data-smilie="8"data-shortname=":D" /> /M</blockquote>