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My Thoughts on DnD, and the next Edition (Long, rambly)
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<blockquote data-quote="mmadsen" data-source="post: 1778830" data-attributes="member: 1645"><p>Well, it's a question of who's attacking <em>and</em> who's defending. For a skilled fighter who's already 90% likely to hit his opponent, a +1 means he's 95% likely to hit his opponent. As I pointed out, that "5% increase" means he hits 1.06 times as often -- which we might call a "6% increase" in hits. For an unskilled combatant who's only 5% likely to hit that same opponent, a +1 means he's now 10% likely to hit. That same "5% increase" means he hits <em>twice</em> as often -- which we might call a "100% increase" in hits.</p><p></p><p>My point is merely that "5% increase" doesn't necessarily mean 5% more hits, and that the actual multiplier varies depending on the original to-hit probability.</p><p></p><p>Even without a bell-curve probability distribution, that +1 has much, much less effect for an attacker with a high bonus than for another attacker with a lower bonus (assuming the same opponent).</p><p></p><p>An attack bonus of +37 vs an AC of 47 is the same as an attack bonus of +0 vs an AC of 10 <em>regardless of what dice you roll</em> (as long as it's dice plus bonus vs. AC).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="mmadsen, post: 1778830, member: 1645"] Well, it's a question of who's attacking [i]and[/i] who's defending. For a skilled fighter who's already 90% likely to hit his opponent, a +1 means he's 95% likely to hit his opponent. As I pointed out, that "5% increase" means he hits 1.06 times as often -- which we might call a "6% increase" in hits. For an unskilled combatant who's only 5% likely to hit that same opponent, a +1 means he's now 10% likely to hit. That same "5% increase" means he hits [i]twice[/i] as often -- which we might call a "100% increase" in hits. My point is merely that "5% increase" doesn't necessarily mean 5% more hits, and that the actual multiplier varies depending on the original to-hit probability. Even without a bell-curve probability distribution, that +1 has much, much less effect for an attacker with a high bonus than for another attacker with a lower bonus (assuming the same opponent). An attack bonus of +37 vs an AC of 47 is the same as an attack bonus of +0 vs an AC of 10 [i]regardless of what dice you roll[/i] (as long as it's dice plus bonus vs. AC). [/QUOTE]
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