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<blockquote data-quote="Zardnaar" data-source="post: 7880528" data-attributes="member: 6716779"><p>Figure thrown about is a billion dollar expectation.</p><p></p><p>It's break even point is somewhere probably around 600-700 million but could be close to 800 million.</p><p></p><p>If they "only" make a billion their profit is a couple of hundred million minus tax. Possibly less.</p><p></p><p>They get about 60% of the box office on average, less in foreign markets. The problem being they've probably spent 250+ million to make it, and 100 million+ on marketing and that's probably conservative on the marketing.</p><p></p><p>Note they made 700 million on TFA on 2 billion dollars. TLJ made 1.3 billion but it hits their profit. TLJ had a big drop off week 2, their movie got less than TLJ opening weekend.</p><p></p><p>If they've spent more like 400+ million on 1 billion they make "only" 200 million. And some estimates of the movie costs are higher than 400 million.</p><p></p><p>Movie might bomb if they get much lower than a billion or come close to it.</p><p></p><p>If the movie drops 25-30% week that's good. If it drops 70% that's bad and yeah could be interesting.</p><p></p><p>3 numbers</p><p></p><p>They get about 60% if the box office</p><p></p><p>Break even is roughly double the movie+ marketing costs. Usually slightly less.</p><p></p><p>60% of the box office is first 2 weeks.</p><p></p><p> We'll have a rough idea how well the movie will do by looking at the drop off this week and maybe one after it.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Zardnaar, post: 7880528, member: 6716779"] Figure thrown about is a billion dollar expectation. It's break even point is somewhere probably around 600-700 million but could be close to 800 million. If they "only" make a billion their profit is a couple of hundred million minus tax. Possibly less. They get about 60% of the box office on average, less in foreign markets. The problem being they've probably spent 250+ million to make it, and 100 million+ on marketing and that's probably conservative on the marketing. Note they made 700 million on TFA on 2 billion dollars. TLJ made 1.3 billion but it hits their profit. TLJ had a big drop off week 2, their movie got less than TLJ opening weekend. If they've spent more like 400+ million on 1 billion they make "only" 200 million. And some estimates of the movie costs are higher than 400 million. Movie might bomb if they get much lower than a billion or come close to it. If the movie drops 25-30% week that's good. If it drops 70% that's bad and yeah could be interesting. 3 numbers They get about 60% if the box office Break even is roughly double the movie+ marketing costs. Usually slightly less. 60% of the box office is first 2 weeks. We'll have a rough idea how well the movie will do by looking at the drop off this week and maybe one after it. [/QUOTE]
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