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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Guilt Puppy" data-source="post: 1087151" data-attributes="member: 6521">Yeah, I came up with that "double your bet on a loss" tactic first night I went to a casino... Eventually wrote a program to run through it statistically (using what odds I could find for basic strategy)... Even including doubling and 3-to-2 payoff for blackjack, the method still somehow ended up tilting the odds even more into the casino's favor. Not sure why, exactly (except perhaps that losses grow exponentially while winnings grow linearly, so when you reach the cut-off point of either losses or wins the losses are grossly disproportionate), but it's how the numbers came up.A variant of this -- where you increase you bet on losses, decrease it on wins -- tends to work a bit better in practice... It capitalizes on the properties of randomness (that you will usually see strings of the same result; which is to say, that it will not be evenly, or non-randomly, distributed.) much better than the doubling method -- that's pretty much asking randomness to come whoop you in the butt.Statistically, though, your best odds of winning big at blackjack (not including card-counting) is placing one big bet -- however much you're willing to lose. You have just short of a 50% chance of doubling this, plus a little bonus if you hit blackjack. Any other betting system requires you to play more hands, which simply means your net wins/losses will deviate less and less from the statistical norm -- in short, you'll be paying the house.And of course, statistically, with very few exceptions, the impact of the house edge can be best minimized by not playing at all.(As a total aside, anyone ever noticed how like D&D a poker game can be? There's that same mix of IT players who micromanage statistics and old-school players who just have a feel for the game, there's some acting involved, even kings and queens, and when people act out of turn, the dealer/DM gets really annoyed. Not to mention the ratio of men to women involved in the game... I dunno, I was watching the World Series of Poker and I just couldn't shake the feeling that like, a good half these guys had played D&D at some point or another.)</blockquote>

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