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"Ouch?!" - improved crit or +2 damage?
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<blockquote data-quote="SBMC" data-source="post: 2496900" data-attributes="member: 30040"><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">First - most people when they respond include most of the post so that readers can see the context</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p> </p><p><strong><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Lets go over this again:</span></span></strong></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</span></span></p><p><strong><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">I posted, in response to one of our posts:</span></span></strong></p><p> </p><p></p><p> </p><p><strong><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Noting that I also stated in the same post:</span></span></strong></p><p></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</span></span></p><p><strong><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">You replied with:</span></span></strong></p><p> </p><p></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</span></span></p><p><strong><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Then I replied with</span></span></strong></p><p> </p><p></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><strong><span style="color: #ffff99">Now your last reply</span></strong><span style="color: #ffff99">:</span></span></p><p></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">So lets explore this one:</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">#1 I state that you would effectively roll the dice 16 times before making a critical (eluding to rolls 17-20 being crits)</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">#2 You reply that that is irrelevant - "<em> A single die has uniform distribution"</em> </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">#3 I state that I was talking about effectively rolling the dice 16 times before making a critical (eluding to rolls 17-20 being crits)</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">#4 You reply "<em>What does that have to with the difference between a uniform distribution and a bell curve?"</em></span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Who is talking about a uniform distribution and/versus a bell curve? I did not.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"></span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Again - I say that you should read more on game theory. This is the exact same idea as gambling in part with the exception that there is not a finite capacity for the "player" or the "house" (which is one reason I suggested using average encounters and average attacks) </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Let me rephrase:</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Each individual roll is individual unto itself- put them together and you have a curve. Waiting for that curve to form is where I do not believe that Improved Critical outshines Weapon Specialization - an immeasurable, intrinsic point. </span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">How can you say you read my post based upon your responses? Based upon the cherry picking of statements taken out of context? Your content is not flawed necessarily - it is the framwwork with which I take issue. </span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">See below</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">What your telling me is that an additional, on top of normal damage 4% of total HP is irrelevant? Over rounds, perhaps multiple attacks? Will 2 points fell them - of course not. Will it be 2 points closer to felling them yes; how many non critical single attacks have you seen kill an opponent over 5th level?</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">I used the fighters hit points as an example only; replace it with whatever you choose and do the math. I think most rational folks get the point. This is another example of you taking things out of context and ignoring the obvious - targeting choice of words and not content. </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">As far as encounters go; that is obvious and known to all.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><strong><em><span style="color: #ffff99">And thus you made my point just above - that you stated as being</span></em></strong><span style="color: #ffff99"> " <em>All small percentages. In other words, that extra +2 won't fell them, unless there have been other hits. Therefore, it is the aggregate of many hits rather than a single roll that matters</em>."</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">My point was, and I quote myself:</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">There was more to follow in that section I posted; but not relevant here at the moment.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">And is this actually incorporated into your numbers or not? If it is my apologies; if not?</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Very good - you see the words as written and respond to them. Ignoring the actual context.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">You just did above…lets investigate again:</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><strong><span style="color: #ffff99">I posted</span></strong><span style="color: #ffff99">:</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><strong><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Then you posted</span></span></strong></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><strong><span style="color: #ffff99">I replied</span></strong><span style="color: #ffff99">:</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="font-family: 'Arial'"><strong><span style="color: #ffff99">Then you posted</span></strong><span style="color: #ffff99">:</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><strong><em><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">With the relevant part being:</span></span></em></strong></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">And the answer is - the opposite is true for the insurance company versus the insured! Good to see you were able to pull that point out of there.</span></span> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Now…lets see I was trying to make a metaphor using a perspective of insurance (as it is familiar to many and thus, as metaphor's do in these circumstances aids in communicating) and my original point was…OH YA! That the +2 is a guarantee payoff every time…lets see the connection here…Improved Critical only has a chance to happen not a guarantee…so if I take Weapon Specialization I have a guaranteed payoff every time…do I really need to flow this into your posts? I think most can see this - if you can't then I would seriously consider getting a social life outside of the internet.</span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">And again another example of attacking words and taking things out of context </span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">I just addressed this above - and yes you did just support my point above.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Ok I see…sure...I won't bother listing this one out there is plenty above and below.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Please explain here why that is even important? It was a statement made in context with the rest of the surrounding words, which are, by the way (including the portion of the post it was in response to):</span></span></p><p> </p><p></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">So lets see here - in English that would mean the context was to state, simply, over time random events create a bell curve…hmmm a tough concept to pull out of there.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">=====================================================================</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">Are we done now Mr. Orsal or are you still all focused on tearing up words - are you a lawyer or law student by the way? Because lawyers are very good and yanking out irrelevant semantics and touting them as fact and things they are not; they are also very good at taking a particular piece of evidence (in this case words) and separating it from everything around it and beating it to death; since they can't do it with the support of the context; or at least it is much harder. As a matter of fact perhaps the evidence would be irrelevant otherwise.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #ffff99"><span style="font-family: 'Arial'">I never once stated, and as a matter of act stated it was not, that my choice noted would be supported by numbers. I stated that I felt it was a "better choice" in my OPINION because of the guaranteed 2 points of damage versus the random effects of obtaining a critical hit.</span></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="SBMC, post: 2496900, member: 30040"] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]First - most people when they respond include most of the post so that readers can see the context[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][font=Arial][color=#ffff99][/color][/font] [b][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Lets go over this again:[/font][/color][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[/font][/color] [b][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]I posted, in response to one of our posts:[/font][/color][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [b][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Noting that I also stated in the same post:[/font][/color][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[/font][/color] [b][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]You replied with:[/font][/color][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[/font][/color] [b][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Then I replied with[/font][/color][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[/font][/color] [font=Arial][b][color=#ffff99]Now your last reply[/color][/b][color=#ffff99]:[/color][/font] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]So lets explore this one:[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]#1 I state that you would effectively roll the dice 16 times before making a critical (eluding to rolls 17-20 being crits)[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]#2 You reply that that is irrelevant - "[i] A single die has uniform distribution"[/i] [/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]#3 I state that I was talking about effectively rolling the dice 16 times before making a critical (eluding to rolls 17-20 being crits)[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]#4 You reply "[i]What does that have to with the difference between a uniform distribution and a bell curve?"[/i][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Who is talking about a uniform distribution and/versus a bell curve? I did not.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial] [/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Again - I say that you should read more on game theory. This is the exact same idea as gambling in part with the exception that there is not a finite capacity for the "player" or the "house" (which is one reason I suggested using average encounters and average attacks) [/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Let me rephrase:[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Each individual roll is individual unto itself- put them together and you have a curve. Waiting for that curve to form is where I do not believe that Improved Critical outshines Weapon Specialization - an immeasurable, intrinsic point. [/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]How can you say you read my post based upon your responses? Based upon the cherry picking of statements taken out of context? Your content is not flawed necessarily - it is the framwwork with which I take issue. [/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]See below[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]What your telling me is that an additional, on top of normal damage 4% of total HP is irrelevant? Over rounds, perhaps multiple attacks? Will 2 points fell them - of course not. Will it be 2 points closer to felling them yes; how many non critical single attacks have you seen kill an opponent over 5th level?[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]I used the fighters hit points as an example only; replace it with whatever you choose and do the math. I think most rational folks get the point. This is another example of you taking things out of context and ignoring the obvious - targeting choice of words and not content. [/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]As far as encounters go; that is obvious and known to all.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [font=Arial][b][i][color=#ffff99]And thus you made my point just above - that you stated as being[/color][/i][/b][color=#ffff99] " [i]All small percentages. In other words, that extra +2 won't fell them, unless there have been other hits. Therefore, it is the aggregate of many hits rather than a single roll that matters[/i]."[/color][/font] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]My point was, and I quote myself:[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]There was more to follow in that section I posted; but not relevant here at the moment.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]And is this actually incorporated into your numbers or not? If it is my apologies; if not?[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Very good - you see the words as written and respond to them. Ignoring the actual context.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]You just did above…lets investigate again:[/font][/color] [font=Arial][b][color=#ffff99]I posted[/color][/b][color=#ffff99]:[/color][/font] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [b][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Then you posted[/font][/color][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [font=Arial][b][color=#ffff99]I replied[/color][/b][color=#ffff99]:[/color][/font] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [font=Arial][b][color=#ffff99]Then you posted[/color][/b][color=#ffff99]:[/color][/font] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [b][i][color=#ffff99][font=Arial]With the relevant part being:[/font][/color][/i][/b] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]And the answer is - the opposite is true for the insurance company versus the insured! Good to see you were able to pull that point out of there.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Now…lets see I was trying to make a metaphor using a perspective of insurance (as it is familiar to many and thus, as metaphor's do in these circumstances aids in communicating) and my original point was…OH YA! That the +2 is a guarantee payoff every time…lets see the connection here…Improved Critical only has a chance to happen not a guarantee…so if I take Weapon Specialization I have a guaranteed payoff every time…do I really need to flow this into your posts? I think most can see this - if you can't then I would seriously consider getting a social life outside of the internet.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]And again another example of attacking words and taking things out of context [/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]I just addressed this above - and yes you did just support my point above.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Ok I see…sure...I won't bother listing this one out there is plenty above and below.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Please explain here why that is even important? It was a statement made in context with the rest of the surrounding words, which are, by the way (including the portion of the post it was in response to):[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color][color=#ffff99][font=Arial][/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]So lets see here - in English that would mean the context was to state, simply, over time random events create a bell curve…hmmm a tough concept to pull out of there.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]=====================================================================[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]Are we done now Mr. Orsal or are you still all focused on tearing up words - are you a lawyer or law student by the way? Because lawyers are very good and yanking out irrelevant semantics and touting them as fact and things they are not; they are also very good at taking a particular piece of evidence (in this case words) and separating it from everything around it and beating it to death; since they can't do it with the support of the context; or at least it is much harder. As a matter of fact perhaps the evidence would be irrelevant otherwise.[/font][/color] [color=#ffff99][font=Arial]I never once stated, and as a matter of act stated it was not, that my choice noted would be supported by numbers. I stated that I felt it was a "better choice" in my OPINION because of the guaranteed 2 points of damage versus the random effects of obtaining a critical hit.[/font][/color] [/QUOTE]
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"Ouch?!" - improved crit or +2 damage?
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