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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Donovan Morningfire" data-source="post: 4136037" data-attributes="member: 39532">This is also the initial surge of interest.  If that interest maintains or expands, then quite possibly, especially in the pdf market, which is where Mutants&Masterminds has really boomed in terms of 3rd party support as well as D&D3e.  But the question also comes of how much of this initial interest is just "oh, something shiny and new," with those folks either deciding its not for them (which is where I'm leaning at the moment, as I really enjoy what 4e looks to be doing) or get bored and move on to the next shiny new bauble, whatever it may be.  But if the interest declines rapidly, especially after 4e comes out, then it's a whole 'nother story.I'm not saying I want Paizo's venture to fail, as it's an option, and options are always good, but I am saying "don't get your hopes to high."And like you said, the status of 4e's game license is an unknown quantity at this point.  Paizo has pretty much said point-blank they only reason they're doing Pathfinder is becuase they need to print books to stay in business and there's no sign the 4e license would be in their hands in time to make the decision to support 4e economically feasible for them.  There's also 4e itself.  If it turns out to be a pretty 3rd-party friendly license and 4e blows the socks off everyone and their Great Aunt Matilda, there turn out to only be a handful of 3rd-party companies willing to support someone else's 3e product line.  It's just too much of an unknown, barring those folks that have vehemently sworn-off 4e sight-largely-unseen and wil stick to 3e regardless.  And even they are an unknown quantity, as all, a lot, a few, or none may end up switching to 4e should they opt to give it try.I'm probably just being a cynic here, but part of Paizo's decision feels like they're simply trying to pander to the vocal cries of "Hell No to 4e!"</blockquote>

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