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Pondering RE: Monte Cook / Long-term roadmaps for both Wizards and Paizo
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<blockquote data-quote="AntiStateQuixote" data-source="post: 5688782" data-attributes="member: 30770"><p>D&D 5e is coming. Two years or less from now is my prediction.</p><p></p><p>If you complain about the "video game" or "board game" aspects of D&D 4e, I think you're going to be very disappointed with 5e. There will absolutely be a near mandatory subscription model of some sort to "keep up with the changes." It will be simplified to the point that it can easily become a successful MMO.</p><p></p><p>As much as I love tabletop role playing, I know that the future of the hobby is fairly limited as a money making enterprise. Compare the number of subscribers to WoW and the number of players on any number of silly Facebook games to the total number of real players of tabletop RPGs. It's not even close.</p><p></p><p>WoW has revenue well over a one hundred million dollars a month. All of the tabletop RPG industry combined probably tops out at less than $10 million. That number is a wild ass guess that's probably high by as much as an order of magnitude.</p><p></p><p>In order to be commercially successful D&D (and tabletop RPGs generally) either becomes a labor of love, cottage industry or has a signficant MMO/subscription component.</p><p></p><p>Monte's presence at WotC won't change these facts, but he will influence how WotC adjusts to this reality. Here's hoping some good RPG supplements that I can use for my tabletop game come along with the video game.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AntiStateQuixote, post: 5688782, member: 30770"] D&D 5e is coming. Two years or less from now is my prediction. If you complain about the "video game" or "board game" aspects of D&D 4e, I think you're going to be very disappointed with 5e. There will absolutely be a near mandatory subscription model of some sort to "keep up with the changes." It will be simplified to the point that it can easily become a successful MMO. As much as I love tabletop role playing, I know that the future of the hobby is fairly limited as a money making enterprise. Compare the number of subscribers to WoW and the number of players on any number of silly Facebook games to the total number of real players of tabletop RPGs. It's not even close. WoW has revenue well over a one hundred million dollars a month. All of the tabletop RPG industry combined probably tops out at less than $10 million. That number is a wild ass guess that's probably high by as much as an order of magnitude. In order to be commercially successful D&D (and tabletop RPGs generally) either becomes a labor of love, cottage industry or has a signficant MMO/subscription component. Monte's presence at WotC won't change these facts, but he will influence how WotC adjusts to this reality. Here's hoping some good RPG supplements that I can use for my tabletop game come along with the video game. [/QUOTE]
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Pondering RE: Monte Cook / Long-term roadmaps for both Wizards and Paizo
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