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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Mark CMG" data-source="post: 5689066" data-attributes="member: 10479">Except that you are discussing two, albeit crossover, hobbies.  Tabletop roleplaying isn't going anywhere any more than tabletop wargaming or other such niche hobbies that basically grow because of word of mouth and general population increases.I do believe you are correct in that some former tabletop-only rpg pubs will eventually shift to crossover design that isn't all one hobby or the other, tending to lean toward the one where more money can be made.  We're already seeing that, though, with D&D leveraging the brand over many types of product.However, I think it is a false assessment to suggest that tabletop roleplaying is actually going to go away or change all that much itself.  That prediction has proven false since first made in the Eighties, a quarter century ago, when PCs started becoming fairly common in households.I also agree that the subscrption model will continue to be used for as long as it continues to serve so well by companies of a certain size and larger who have the ability to maintain the sort of release schedule that can satisfy the model. That, however, isn't really a prediction so much as an observation, since it has pretty much become standard practice for both industries.As to the one actually prediction you made of 2 years for 5E?  Maybe.  They like to release in June to get the full summer bump ending with the big conventions, so maybe a bit less than that.  I think we'll see admission of them working on 5E in earnest by next Gencon at the latest and a June 2013 release at the latest as well.  I think they will also move away from the big core release followed by the supplement, supplement, etc, etc, etc, model that doesn't seem to work for them very well anymore.</blockquote>

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