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<blockquote data-quote="aramis erak" data-source="post: 9703026" data-attributes="member: 6779310"><p>Yes, there are. There are systems where the probabilities are close replicas of the observed odds of outcomes from real life. They tend not to be overly detailed, tho'.</p><p></p><p>Some of the computer ones are so good that they are used in forensic investigations. And in training. Microsoft Flight Simulator, when used with a flight stick and pedals, is good enough to be used for simulated flight hours towards one's pilot's license. My CFIs had me use it for one hour of training.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Realism is when those match the probabilities experienced in real life. It's not that it predicts the future, but that it matches the probabilities. But if the probabilities match, the useful predictions can be made... Orbital mechanics are pretty well simulated by NASA, ESA, Роскосмос, JAXA, and ISRO... sufficiently so as to be able to put space probes into orbits around planets to 40 AU (≅3.8e9 miles)... Pluto...</p><p></p><p>Firefight simulators are used in training US soldiers. Aircraft simulators have been training pilots since WW II. Tabletop wargames have been and still are training US, UK, and other Armies' and Navies' officers in tactics, since the 1890's.</p><p></p><p>Chess, Go, Shogi, Xiangqi have been used in training officers in the Orient for centuries; they're not even high fidelity tools, but they teach officers to think about how to win, how to use diverse strategies... The IJN prior to world war II actually used a simulation to decide if the Pearl Harbor attack was worthwhile... it was... they didn't predict the weather... CVBG Enterprise was delayed by weather, so escaped the massacre. If the IJN had managed to take out the battlegroup, it would have made for further raids to keep the battleships out of action. CVBG Enterprise was, for a while, the only operating US Capital Ship in the Western Pacific... and she was able to make a huge difference. The biggest was warding off IJN carriers so that they couldn't stop the repairs on most of Battleship Row...</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="aramis erak, post: 9703026, member: 6779310"] Yes, there are. There are systems where the probabilities are close replicas of the observed odds of outcomes from real life. They tend not to be overly detailed, tho'. Some of the computer ones are so good that they are used in forensic investigations. And in training. Microsoft Flight Simulator, when used with a flight stick and pedals, is good enough to be used for simulated flight hours towards one's pilot's license. My CFIs had me use it for one hour of training. Realism is when those match the probabilities experienced in real life. It's not that it predicts the future, but that it matches the probabilities. But if the probabilities match, the useful predictions can be made... Orbital mechanics are pretty well simulated by NASA, ESA, Роскосмос, JAXA, and ISRO... sufficiently so as to be able to put space probes into orbits around planets to 40 AU (≅3.8e9 miles)... Pluto... Firefight simulators are used in training US soldiers. Aircraft simulators have been training pilots since WW II. Tabletop wargames have been and still are training US, UK, and other Armies' and Navies' officers in tactics, since the 1890's. Chess, Go, Shogi, Xiangqi have been used in training officers in the Orient for centuries; they're not even high fidelity tools, but they teach officers to think about how to win, how to use diverse strategies... The IJN prior to world war II actually used a simulation to decide if the Pearl Harbor attack was worthwhile... it was... they didn't predict the weather... CVBG Enterprise was delayed by weather, so escaped the massacre. If the IJN had managed to take out the battlegroup, it would have made for further raids to keep the battleships out of action. CVBG Enterprise was, for a while, the only operating US Capital Ship in the Western Pacific... and she was able to make a huge difference. The biggest was warding off IJN carriers so that they couldn't stop the repairs on most of Battleship Row... [/QUOTE]
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