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Message: <blockquote data-quote="ECMO3" data-source="post: 8375360" data-attributes="member: 7030563">Your made a small error here.  I think at AC16 your numbers for a Rapier would have been correct.With +3Dex and +2 proficiency vs 15AC you have a 50% non-crit hit chance (10-19 rolled) and a 5% crit chance (20) and a 45% miss (1-9 rolled).Numbers underlined and bolded below are the difference:Case1:CASE 1 (non crit hit) 0.7--case 1a -- first non-crit hits, second misses -- .5*.45 = 0.225--case 1b -- first misses, second non-crit hits -- .45*.5 = 0.225--case 1c -- both non-crit hit -- .5*.5 = 0.25.225+.225+.25=0.7Average damage Case 1: 14.5 * 0.7 = 10.15Case 1 + Case 2 average damage: 10.15 + 2.535 = 12.685For TWFCase 1 -- 1st non crit hits, second misses - 13.5*.5*.45=3.0375Case 2 -- 1st misses, second non-crit hits - 10.5*.45*.5=2.3625Case 3 -- 1st crits, second misses - 24*.05*.45=0.54Case 4 -- 1st misses, second crits - 21*.45*.05=0.4725Case 5 -- both non-crit hit - 17 * .5*.5=4.25Case 6 -- 1st crits, second non-crit hits 27.5*.05*.5=0.6875Case 7 -- 1st non-crit hits, second crits 20.5* .5* .05=0.5125  <--- This is where the TWF really loses damageCase 8 -- both crit 31*.05*.05=0.0775Total=11.9400</blockquote>