Upgrade your account to a Community Supporter account and remove most of the site ads.

Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="Dr. Harry" data-source="post: 3232441" data-attributes="member: 5468">I said yes.  The ancient wizard who loves some form(s) of physical pleasure too much to give them up using magic to extend his/her life, is a fantasy staple.  Especially if it takes the form of some deal-with-death-unholy-bargain.  My chioce in campaign flavor right now is that there should be options than just more and more undead.  Why make life too easy for the PC's? <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f642.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":)" title="Smile    :)"  data-smilie="1"data-shortname=":)" /> After all, the undead "heavy sacrifices" come with little flags to tell the players "I'm Evil (pronounced eeeee-vil)!  Kill me for the XP!"The question of drinking your 99th potion presupposes your succeeding at your previously succeeding at 98.  Starting with a 1% failure rate, this first potion has a 99% cahnce of succeeding.  The second potion has a 98% chance of succeeding, presupposing that you made the first role, for a total probability of (0.99x0.98) 97%The survival chance for you surviving by the time you get to your:fifth potion :  91%tenth potion: 86%fifteenth potion: 28%  (.99x0.98x0.97x0.96x0.95x0.94x...x0.85)This drops off a lot more quickly than you might think.  Consider once you get to about ten potions that if you round off the odds of failure as 1/10 instead of 10/100, the odds of rolling three, four, or even five ten-sided dice without rolling a one gets lower and lower.twentieth potion: 10% chance that you survive this longtwentieth-third potion: 5% chance that you survive this longThe odds of getting to the ninty-ninth potion are one in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000</blockquote>

Verification