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<blockquote data-quote="diamabel75" data-source="post: 4284669" data-attributes="member: 29605">Was the possibility of one or more people having under/over 50 % chance of succeeding in each group taken into account in the math solution? I noticed that odds of completing a task were greater with the increased complexity. But there are so many variables that it can't accurately be determined.Example: If the level one complexity rules are used (4 successes before 2 failures) and the first four who do a skill check have over a 50% chance of succeeding based on the skills used, then the chances of success are greater. However, if the first 2/3/4 have less than a 50% chance of success than it's more likely it will fail.Also, in a level five complexity (12 success before 6 failure) if you have 5 players and 2 of them have less than a 50% chance of success with each skill check, then chances are that 2 out five rolls will fail. If this is the case, then after 10 rolls there will be 6 successes and 4 failures. Right there it's looking like it's going to fail, but even that may not be true.Point is, there are way too many variables to assume that the math formula is a 100% accurate description of what will happen. Initiative order will play a factor, as will skills available, as will spells and powers, as will bonuses and negatives to rolls, as will the optional (if used) critical failure and success rolls.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="diamabel75, post: 4284669, member: 29605"] Was the possibility of one or more people having under/over 50 % chance of succeeding in each group taken into account in the math solution? I noticed that odds of completing a task were greater with the increased complexity. But there are so many variables that it can't accurately be determined. Example: If the level one complexity rules are used (4 successes before 2 failures) and the first four who do a skill check have over a 50% chance of succeeding based on the skills used, then the chances of success are greater. However, if the first 2/3/4 have less than a 50% chance of success than it's more likely it will fail. Also, in a level five complexity (12 success before 6 failure) if you have 5 players and 2 of them have less than a 50% chance of success with each skill check, then chances are that 2 out five rolls will fail. If this is the case, then after 10 rolls there will be 6 successes and 4 failures. Right there it's looking like it's going to fail, but even that may not be true. Point is, there are way too many variables to assume that the math formula is a 100% accurate description of what will happen. Initiative order will play a factor, as will skills available, as will spells and powers, as will bonuses and negatives to rolls, as will the optional (if used) critical failure and success rolls. [/QUOTE]

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