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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Hard8Staff" data-source="post: 19619" data-attributes="member: 1386">Effect of d20 in 2002?Well, the common "industry" wisdom among retailers, mfrs and distributors is that d20 is dying for most companies.  They feel that there will be 3-6 companies standing with the rest out of business and/or publishing only when they scrape up enough money from their day job to publish another money-losing project.From what I've read and heard among industry insiders this sentiment is near-ubiquitous.  (not everyone agrees, but they're clearly in the minority).Personally, I think they're mistaken.  I believe d20 will continue to be a force for some time to come with plenty of companies finding ways to make money off of it, but few being really successful (there just aren't enough dollars to go around for everyone).  Until a new "fad" hits the industry (at which time only 3-5 will be left standing, the rest washed away by 2 losing products in a row or volutarily quitting for the new fad).In the short run, consumers will migrate toward brands they know and like (meaning the oldest brands like penumbra, etc., will maintain a strong business -- unless their quality drops).I have other thoughts, but I'll keep them to myself for now (not because I'm secretive, but because I'm afraid they'd be taken the wrong way and make folks angry).But who really can say?David Kenzer</blockquote>