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General Tabletop Discussion
D&D Older Editions, OSR, & D&D Variants
The Soonest You Would Purchase 4e
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<blockquote data-quote="Seeker95" data-source="post: 3176338" data-attributes="member: 17186"><p><strong>My interpretation and thoughts</strong></p><p></p><p>The results in the short time this poll has been have led to a few general conclusions and questions. I think I'll start with the question.</p><p></p><p><strong>Those who chose 2010...</strong></p><p>How many would have instead chosen 2009 if that was the last year listed?</p><p>How many would have instead chosen Never if no 2010 option was offered?</p><p>(I suspect the majority would have chosen 2009, selecting whatever year was last.)</p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>Those who chose never...</strong></p><p>How many play 3.5?</p><p>How many play 3e?</p><p>How many play D&D at all?</p><p></p><p>Those who say they will not buy 4e are largely non-factors in any decision WotC will make regarding the release of 3e. Just as Porsche does not care much about what features I like r do not like in a luxury sports car*, WotC does not worry about the impact a release date might have on those who will not buy the product in the first place.</p><p></p><p>In looking at the results at this time (113 voters), 25 say they will not buy 4e. That leaves 88 with votes that would matter to WotC. 30 are willing to buy in 2007, and 22 in 2008 -- 62%. I bet WotC has done or will conduct similar market research. I suspect the results of such research will be similar.</p><p></p><p>Based on all of this, <strong>I predict a GenCon 2008 release</strong>, with enough momentum to allow for significant Christmas sales on top of the "first in line". Of those who voted 2009 or 2010, I also predict that 50% will pruchase in the first six months of release, with the majority of those by Christmas 2008.</p><p></p><p>Thank you all for your participation. I look forward to seeing the reality as well.</p><p>(For the record, I woudl buy it tomorrow, assuming it will be as good in my opinion as 3e and 3.5 have been.)</p><p><em></em></p><p><em><span style="font-size: 9px">*Neither my income nor my vehicle buying habits make me a candidate for a sucha car.</span></em></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Seeker95, post: 3176338, member: 17186"] [b]My interpretation and thoughts[/b] The results in the short time this poll has been have led to a few general conclusions and questions. I think I'll start with the question. [B]Those who chose 2010...[/B] How many would have instead chosen 2009 if that was the last year listed? How many would have instead chosen Never if no 2010 option was offered? (I suspect the majority would have chosen 2009, selecting whatever year was last.) [B] Those who chose never...[/B] How many play 3.5? How many play 3e? How many play D&D at all? Those who say they will not buy 4e are largely non-factors in any decision WotC will make regarding the release of 3e. Just as Porsche does not care much about what features I like r do not like in a luxury sports car*, WotC does not worry about the impact a release date might have on those who will not buy the product in the first place. In looking at the results at this time (113 voters), 25 say they will not buy 4e. That leaves 88 with votes that would matter to WotC. 30 are willing to buy in 2007, and 22 in 2008 -- 62%. I bet WotC has done or will conduct similar market research. I suspect the results of such research will be similar. Based on all of this, [B]I predict a GenCon 2008 release[/B], with enough momentum to allow for significant Christmas sales on top of the "first in line". Of those who voted 2009 or 2010, I also predict that 50% will pruchase in the first six months of release, with the majority of those by Christmas 2008. Thank you all for your participation. I look forward to seeing the reality as well. (For the record, I woudl buy it tomorrow, assuming it will be as good in my opinion as 3e and 3.5 have been.) [I] [SIZE=1]*Neither my income nor my vehicle buying habits make me a candidate for a sucha car.[/SIZE][/I] [/QUOTE]
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