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<blockquote data-quote="swrushing" data-source="post: 1399971" data-attributes="member: 14140">This is a logical error.A d216 has just as much chance of rolling a 1-1-1 as a 3-4-3, just as a d10 has the same chance of rolling a 3 as an 11.How likely you are to succeed in either case depends on how many of those potential rolls you assign &quot;succeeds&quot; and how many you assign &quot;fails&quot;. if rolling 1d20 you chose to say &quot;1-3 fails&quot; you are saying &quot;you will succeed 85% of the time on average.&quot; On any given roll, the outcome is not certain... because you said so.if rolling 3d6 you chose to say &quot;you will succeed 85% of the time&quot; you will assign a fail range of 3-7 and the outcome will, for any given roll, be uncertain.What is happening when you say &quot;roll 3d6, you fail on a 3&quot; is that you are saying the chance of success is NOT 85% but 99+%. In d20 you would have frankly just said &quot;you succeed&quot; and not needed a roll.3d6 wont produce more predictable &quot;results&quot; in terms of success fail than d20 will unless you start assigning greater chances of success for 3d6 than for the d20. Simply put, if you assign a d20 task a 15% chance of failure and the same task under 3d6 a 5% chance of failure, its not the DICE that are making you more likely to succeed under 3d6, its the greater chance of success you CHOSE!</blockquote>

[QUOTE="swrushing, post: 1399971, member: 14140"] This is a logical error. A d216 has just as much chance of rolling a 1-1-1 as a 3-4-3, just as a d10 has the same chance of rolling a 3 as an 11. How likely you are to succeed in either case depends on how many of those potential rolls you assign "succeeds" and how many you assign "fails". if rolling 1d20 you chose to say "1-3 fails" you are saying "you will succeed 85% of the time on average." On any given roll, the outcome is not certain... because you said so. if rolling 3d6 you chose to say "you will succeed 85% of the time" you will assign a fail range of 3-7 and the outcome will, for any given roll, be uncertain. What is happening when you say "roll 3d6, you fail on a 3" is that you are saying the chance of success is NOT 85% but 99+%. In d20 you would have frankly just said "you succeed" and not needed a roll. 3d6 wont produce more predictable "results" in terms of success fail than d20 will unless you start assigning greater chances of success for 3d6 than for the d20. Simply put, if you assign a d20 task a 15% chance of failure and the same task under 3d6 a 5% chance of failure, its not the DICE that are making you more likely to succeed under 3d6, its the greater chance of success you CHOSE! [/QUOTE]

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