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<blockquote data-quote="FormerlyHemlock" data-source="post: 6871283" data-attributes="member: 6787650">No, it really isn't, in the general case. This is exactly why I posted my PSA in #382. The method of analysis you've advocated is common but usually unhelpful in guiding tactically correct decision-making.For example, with concentration saves, you're normally interested in exactly this metric: the failure rate. The lower your failure rate, the more risks you can afford to take without much danger of losing your concentration spell. E.g. a Moon Druid with Spike Growth or Conjure Animals needs to know his failure rate before deciding whether or not to shapeshift into a rhino and charge off into combat.He doesn't care about subtracting his probabilities from one another. He wants to know how advantage will change his tactical options. If he's twenty times safer with advantage, he doesn't care if that's only (.9975 - .95 = .04975) by your metric. Your metric isn't what he's interested in.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="FormerlyHemlock, post: 6871283, member: 6787650"] No, it really isn't, in the general case. This is exactly why I posted my PSA in #382. The method of analysis you've advocated is common but usually unhelpful in guiding tactically correct decision-making. For example, with concentration saves, you're normally interested in exactly this metric: the failure rate. The lower your failure rate, the more risks you can afford to take without much danger of losing your concentration spell. E.g. a Moon Druid with Spike Growth or Conjure Animals needs to know his failure rate before deciding whether or not to shapeshift into a rhino and charge off into combat. He doesn't care about subtracting his probabilities from one another. He wants to know how advantage will change his tactical options. If he's twenty times safer with advantage, he doesn't care if that's only (.9975 - .95 = .04975) by your metric. Your metric isn't what he's interested in. [/QUOTE]

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