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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Wombat" data-source="post: 3813667" data-attributes="member: 8447">There was a lot of similar talk when 3e came out ... and nothing came to pass.Sure, there are people who stayed with AD&D 2nd ed and are happy with it.  Good!  And there are people who jumped to 3e straight away.  Also good!  And there were people who grumbled and moaned about the changes and then eventually ended up playing 3e anyway and liked it.  Fine, too!  But we (collectively, not necessarily individually) are creatures who are addicted to the word "NEW!"  When a NEW item comes out, it is presupposed by most individuals to be inherently better than its OLD equivalent.  Therefore many people will pick it up because it is NEW.Equally, it will become increasingly difficult to find 3e items.  During the first year there will still be (slowly diminishing) stock, but after a short while you will only find such material in specialty stores, a few used places, and on-line shops that cater to very particular tastes.  Again, with 4e being commonly available, it would be easier for people to pick up, and thus play.Between these two factors alone, I believe that 4e will not split the market.On the other hand, as stated earlier, I don't believe that everyone needs to switch, or even to play D&D in preference to other games.  Play what feels right at whatever edition level feels comfortable.It's your game, after all...</blockquote>