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What if 3.5 and 4E split the market?
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<blockquote data-quote="dmccoy1693" data-source="post: 3817246" data-attributes="member: 51747"><p>Considering I am one of the loudest voices in the "3.5 alive" choir and considering I was the one that started the thread reference in the OP, allow me to share some of my thoughts. First off, let me state that I am not advocating that the market infact be split nor am I advocating that those that want to buy/play 4E should not because the "cool" 3.5 products that can be released into eternity. But I do listen to my fellow forumites as well as the gamers in my local area and it is obvious that some gamers will not be changing editions. To this crowd, the options are to continue to buy 3.5 products or to not buy anything d20 related. In short, there is a market there, whether someone fills it or not. </p><p></p><p>Odds are, that market won't be big. At first (like while DMs are finishing up exiting campaigns before switching over to 4E), it will be larger, but that market will wane. Eventually it will wane down to OSRIC/C&C size, relative to the different version's popularity when they were the latest and greatest. Will 40% of the current WotC consuming market stay behind, not likely. Even if 40% stays behind initially, many will be back to consuming WotC products after they hear the reviews.</p><p></p><p>About FLGS going out of business because of dependence upon WotC RPG products, there was a thread on RPG.net in the business section a month or two ago about this very thing. Most of the posters were either FLGS owner or 3rd party publishers. The basic consensus was that any store that was that heavily dependent upon one type of product was asking for trouble. Most FLGS owners that said they were not worried abot a potential 4E flop were those that diversified their stock to include minis, CCGs, comic books, videos, manga, board game, and more.</p><p></p><p>Then again, I'm just another random guy and my thoughts are not based on anything but "my own meandering experience," as the song goes.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="dmccoy1693, post: 3817246, member: 51747"] Considering I am one of the loudest voices in the "3.5 alive" choir and considering I was the one that started the thread reference in the OP, allow me to share some of my thoughts. First off, let me state that I am not advocating that the market infact be split nor am I advocating that those that want to buy/play 4E should not because the "cool" 3.5 products that can be released into eternity. But I do listen to my fellow forumites as well as the gamers in my local area and it is obvious that some gamers will not be changing editions. To this crowd, the options are to continue to buy 3.5 products or to not buy anything d20 related. In short, there is a market there, whether someone fills it or not. Odds are, that market won't be big. At first (like while DMs are finishing up exiting campaigns before switching over to 4E), it will be larger, but that market will wane. Eventually it will wane down to OSRIC/C&C size, relative to the different version's popularity when they were the latest and greatest. Will 40% of the current WotC consuming market stay behind, not likely. Even if 40% stays behind initially, many will be back to consuming WotC products after they hear the reviews. About FLGS going out of business because of dependence upon WotC RPG products, there was a thread on RPG.net in the business section a month or two ago about this very thing. Most of the posters were either FLGS owner or 3rd party publishers. The basic consensus was that any store that was that heavily dependent upon one type of product was asking for trouble. Most FLGS owners that said they were not worried abot a potential 4E flop were those that diversified their stock to include minis, CCGs, comic books, videos, manga, board game, and more. Then again, I'm just another random guy and my thoughts are not based on anything but "my own meandering experience," as the song goes. [/QUOTE]
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What if 3.5 and 4E split the market?
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