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Message: <blockquote data-quote="RFisher" data-source="post: 3567514" data-attributes="member: 3608">I think 4e will appear once Wizards sees D&D sales starting to drop. I think 4e may very well have the opposite of the desired effect & end up making sales drop off even faster, though perhaps after a brief initial bounce. Wizards will come up with some really good options for turning things around, but they'll decide they'd rather get out of the RPG business. They'll continue licensing the brand, but no RPG publisher will be able to afford the license for a D&D-branded RPG, much less the price they ask for buying the brand outright.The hobby will shrink, but we'll still have plenty of small publishers that do it more out of love than money. Plus the free community efforts.I just feel that RPGs are more-&-more becoming something that can't continue to turn the sort of profits big companies need. The natural trend is also for companies--as they get bigger--to lose more really talented people than they can replace. They days of a big RPG industry are numbered, though I'm optimistic about the future of the hobby.</blockquote>