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What makes Great Weapon Master and Sharpshooter so good?
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<blockquote data-quote="Ovinomancer" data-source="post: 7439980" data-attributes="member: 16814"><p>Your assumptions are offbase. The average damage on TWF isn't 15 unless both hit, and that chance isn't 2x.55. It's .55x.55, ie the chance the first hits times the chance the second hits. This incorrect assumption means your TWF calculations are off base. You need to find the chance that 1 attack out of 2 hits and kills (normal and crit) and then the chance of 1 normal hit and 1 crit, and then the chance of 2 normal hits, and then the chance of 2 normal crits. These are actually not small enough to not matter. The end result for TWF vs goblins is .86 goblins a round. GWM has similar errors, it's full GpR (goblin per round) with GWF is .95. Without GWF, it's statistically tied with TWF/TWS.</p><p></p><p>Also, advantage should never be assumed to be a flat increase. While at those two breakpoint and with the analysis you're running you aren't introducing too much error, in other analyses a flat bonus assumption will lead you astray.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ovinomancer, post: 7439980, member: 16814"] Your assumptions are offbase. The average damage on TWF isn't 15 unless both hit, and that chance isn't 2x.55. It's .55x.55, ie the chance the first hits times the chance the second hits. This incorrect assumption means your TWF calculations are off base. You need to find the chance that 1 attack out of 2 hits and kills (normal and crit) and then the chance of 1 normal hit and 1 crit, and then the chance of 2 normal hits, and then the chance of 2 normal crits. These are actually not small enough to not matter. The end result for TWF vs goblins is .86 goblins a round. GWM has similar errors, it's full GpR (goblin per round) with GWF is .95. Without GWF, it's statistically tied with TWF/TWS. Also, advantage should never be assumed to be a flat increase. While at those two breakpoint and with the analysis you're running you aren't introducing too much error, in other analyses a flat bonus assumption will lead you astray. [/QUOTE]
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Community
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What makes Great Weapon Master and Sharpshooter so good?
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