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<blockquote data-quote="Hussar" data-source="post: 6084614" data-attributes="member: 22779">&quot;Improbable&quot;?&nbsp; That's about a one in twenty-five thousand chance.&nbsp; 12 successful saving throws is about one in 500, and 8 or 9 failed Ref saves is also about one in 500 (give or take).&nbsp; The odds that BOTH are true?&nbsp; One in 25000.And, even with the -4 dex penalty, they still escape on a 20.&nbsp; Considering they would have been entangled for about 50 rounds (2 full entangle spells, at least a 2nd level druid=40 rounds+however many for the third one), we're still talking failing to roll a single 20 on about 100 die rolls.Look, I've never met you and you've never met me.&nbsp; We're complete strangers who simply hurl pixels at each other.&nbsp; <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f600.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":D" title="Big grin&nbsp; &nbsp; :D"&nbsp; data-smilie="8"data-shortname=":D" />&nbsp; But, when someone repeatedly states that they regularly encounter very, very statistically improbable events, without any corroborating evidence whatsoever, would you believe you?&nbsp; You've stated repeatedly that you went into combats lacking healing and frequently continued adventuring regardless.&nbsp; You've given a situation here that is pretty darn unlikely.At what point would you apply Occam's Razor?&nbsp; Would you simply say that this person regularly experiences extremely unlikely events, or would you start looking for other reasons?Hey, I do realize that the improbable does happen.&nbsp; Fair enough.&nbsp; But, when the improbable happens regularly?&nbsp; There's something else going on.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Hussar, post: 6084614, member: 22779"] "Improbable"? That's about a one in twenty-five thousand chance. 12 successful saving throws is about one in 500, and 8 or 9 failed Ref saves is also about one in 500 (give or take). The odds that BOTH are true? One in 25000. And, even with the -4 dex penalty, they still escape on a 20. Considering they would have been entangled for about 50 rounds (2 full entangle spells, at least a 2nd level druid=40 rounds+however many for the third one), we're still talking failing to roll a single 20 on about 100 die rolls. Look, I've never met you and you've never met me. We're complete strangers who simply hurl pixels at each other. :D But, when someone repeatedly states that they regularly encounter very, very statistically improbable events, without any corroborating evidence whatsoever, would you believe you? You've stated repeatedly that you went into combats lacking healing and frequently continued adventuring regardless. You've given a situation here that is pretty darn unlikely. At what point would you apply Occam's Razor? Would you simply say that this person regularly experiences extremely unlikely events, or would you start looking for other reasons? Hey, I do realize that the improbable does happen. Fair enough. But, when the improbable happens regularly? There's something else going on. [/QUOTE]

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