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<blockquote data-quote="UngeheuerLich" data-source="post: 6916407" data-attributes="member: 59057">There is more than average damage indeed. But there are damage treshomds and overkill too. And sometimes it is just a gamble.In statistics there is the law of big numbers. If you have a lot of attack rolls, average damage is meaningful. If you only have a few attacks, reliability may be more useful.Just look at the extreme (impossible) cases: 100% hit chance, 1 damage. You are killing steadily. If you only hit on a 20 but kill the target with every hit, on average your 20th attack kills the target (that is mathematical fact). So if the target has 20 hp, both options will be equal on average... but for every single fight it is totally different. While you are sure that you kill the monster after 20 hits with the first method, the monster can be dead after a single attack with the other or can stand for 40 rounds or more. Unlikely but possible. The tragic part is: when you miss 10 times in a row with the secon method, on average you still need 20 more rounds since your average chance to hit is still only 5%. 2 Attacks and advantage shortens it to 5 rounds... still a lot of time.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="UngeheuerLich, post: 6916407, member: 59057"] There is more than average damage indeed. But there are damage treshomds and overkill too. And sometimes it is just a gamble. In statistics there is the law of big numbers. If you have a lot of attack rolls, average damage is meaningful. If you only have a few attacks, reliability may be more useful. Just look at the extreme (impossible) cases: 100% hit chance, 1 damage. You are killing steadily. If you only hit on a 20 but kill the target with every hit, on average your 20th attack kills the target (that is mathematical fact). So if the target has 20 hp, both options will be equal on average... but for every single fight it is totally different. While you are sure that you kill the monster after 20 hits with the first method, the monster can be dead after a single attack with the other or can stand for 40 rounds or more. Unlikely but possible. The tragic part is: when you miss 10 times in a row with the secon method, on average you still need 20 more rounds since your average chance to hit is still only 5%. 2 Attacks and advantage shortens it to 5 rounds... still a lot of time. [/QUOTE]

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