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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Parmandur" data-source="post: 7787070" data-attributes="member: 6780330">The problem with mistakes like that is that they are considered decisions, actually. Whole books have been written about this, but here is one example summary of the state of psychological studies on the predictive value of snap judgement:"Evidence points to accuracy in some of the snap judgments we make about other people. Telling whether someone is extroverted or shy is easy. Multiple studies have shown that judgments of someone’s extroversion made by looking at that person’s photograph (even for just 50 milliseconds) predict how extroverted he or she actually is. But we’re also quick to make accurate judgments about facts that seem a lot more difficult to predict, such as the amount of money a chief executive is going to make for the company in a given year, or someone’s romantic attraction toward us. For example, personality traits inferred from the faces of executives predict their leadership skills, measured in terms of bottom-line profits, and the effects are just as strong whether the photo is current or was taken in the leader’s college days.""Studies have shown that women’s sexual attitudes and behaviors can be accurately judged from 5-minute video clips and even from photos of their faces. Along similar lines, seeing a flash of a face for just 40 milliseconds — 10 times faster than the average eye-blink — was all many study participants needed to tell if a man was gay or a woman was a lesbian, and thinking about it longer actually made their so-called “gaydar” less accurate. Experimental participants who saw faces for a fraction of a second were just as accurate as those who were given all the time in the world. When they were told to think carefully about their decision (versus going with their gut) they choked, producing results no better than chance guessing."[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.psychologicalscience.org/observer/snap-judgment-science[/URL]Point is, a simple system of snap-judgement based tiered difficulty like 5E will work very well for most people to improvise actions and reactions, as proven by years of people using the system as such.</blockquote>

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