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Message: <blockquote data-quote="drothgery" data-source="post: 3303231" data-attributes="member: 360">MLB Baseball is somewhat more random than NFL football; inferior teams win any one game far more often (a .750 winning percentage in MLB is a 120-win historically great season; in the NFL it's a routine division championship that's rarely the best regular season in the NFL for the year); and while a best of seven series mitigates this somewhat, it doesn't do so completely. NBA basketball is slightly more random than NFL football (but far less random than MLB Baseball), so inferior teams very rarely win playoff series, especially since, unlike baseball, they play best of 7 in all rounds.Still, it's certainly possible the Bears will win; very bad NFL teams have beat great NFL teams before, and do every season. And this is just a good NFL team (the Bears would probably be a 10-6 borderline playoff team in the AFC) playing a better NFL team (the Colts were not the best team in the NFL this year, though if they had their playoff defense all year -- and their regular season/2nd half of Pats game offense -- they would have been). If the playoffs had ended up with a Seahawks - Chargers Super Bowl, the Bolts would be two touchdown favorites, rather than the one touchdown Indy's getting over the Bears.</blockquote>