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<blockquote data-quote="FormerlyHemlock" data-source="post: 9026677" data-attributes="member: 6787650">Instead of semantically quibbling, <s>let me propose something specific to illustrate the point:</s> let me be constructively vague:In the real world, an intelligence analyst may spend a lot of effort on establishing inference chains (A -&gt; B; B &amp; C -&gt; D; giving a concrete example is apparently against Enworld policy but hopefully you can think of one, either ancient or modern) without knowing if the underlying suppositions A and C are true. Intelligence agencies can produce wrong conclusions because they are wrong about the facts. GMs are never in that position. GMs can only be wrong about whether A -&gt; B, not about whether A.GMs have access to knowledge about everybody's motives, who's paying off whom, where everybody keeps their wealth, etc. They are never wrong about such things. You are correct that they may be MISSING information that hasn't been created yet, but never being WRONG is still an enormous advantage that the CIA can only wish it had.Do you disagree?</blockquote>

[QUOTE="FormerlyHemlock, post: 9026677, member: 6787650"] Instead of semantically quibbling, [S]let me propose something specific to illustrate the point:[/S] let me be constructively vague: In the real world, an intelligence analyst may spend a lot of effort on establishing inference chains (A -> B; B & C -> D; giving a concrete example is apparently against Enworld policy but hopefully you can think of one, either ancient or modern) without knowing if the underlying suppositions A and C are true. Intelligence agencies can produce wrong conclusions because they are wrong about the facts. GMs are never in that position. GMs can only be wrong about whether A -> B, not about whether A. GMs have access to knowledge about everybody's motives, who's paying off whom, where everybody keeps their wealth, etc. They are never wrong about such things. You are correct that they may be MISSING information that hasn't been created yet, but never being WRONG is still an enormous advantage that the CIA can only wish it had. Do you disagree? [/QUOTE]

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