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Why HD-DVD will win the Format War (For mature audience ... and 14-year-old boys)
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<blockquote data-quote="Rodrigo Istalindir" data-source="post: 3286430" data-attributes="member: 2810"><p>The dual-format stuff will be interesting. Bluray is more expensive to produce, so a hybrid disc benefits Bluray more than HD (as the additional cost for the hybrid disk is relatively higher for the HD consumer). This makes it less attractive for those in the HD camp.</p><p></p><p>I think there is a good chance that neither will really succeed. Most people can't see a definitive difference, and the perceived benefits of the new formats over DVD are much less than the transition from VHS to DVD (and it took 12 years for that tide to swing). I think there is a good chance that digital delivery systems will relegate physical media irrelevant by 2018. I have maybe 150 DVDs (and most people I know, even those that like movies, have fewer than that). At ~6GB per movie, I could put my entire collection on one of those nice new Hitachi 1TB drives. Storage capacities continue to grow. As processors get faster, it becomes possible to achieve greater compression at equivalent quality. </p><p></p><p>With FIOS and multi-megabit connections, it should be relatively feasible to go to Netflix while at work, click what movie you want to watch that night, and have it downloaded to a settop box or PC by the time dinner is done. (And Netflix is staring to roll out something along those lines this week).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Rodrigo Istalindir, post: 3286430, member: 2810"] The dual-format stuff will be interesting. Bluray is more expensive to produce, so a hybrid disc benefits Bluray more than HD (as the additional cost for the hybrid disk is relatively higher for the HD consumer). This makes it less attractive for those in the HD camp. I think there is a good chance that neither will really succeed. Most people can't see a definitive difference, and the perceived benefits of the new formats over DVD are much less than the transition from VHS to DVD (and it took 12 years for that tide to swing). I think there is a good chance that digital delivery systems will relegate physical media irrelevant by 2018. I have maybe 150 DVDs (and most people I know, even those that like movies, have fewer than that). At ~6GB per movie, I could put my entire collection on one of those nice new Hitachi 1TB drives. Storage capacities continue to grow. As processors get faster, it becomes possible to achieve greater compression at equivalent quality. With FIOS and multi-megabit connections, it should be relatively feasible to go to Netflix while at work, click what movie you want to watch that night, and have it downloaded to a settop box or PC by the time dinner is done. (And Netflix is staring to roll out something along those lines this week). [/QUOTE]
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Why HD-DVD will win the Format War (For mature audience ... and 14-year-old boys)
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