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Why I Think D&DN is In Trouble
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<blockquote data-quote="Mistwell" data-source="post: 6241992" data-attributes="member: 2525"><p>Not only is it the most-discussed RPG on the internet right now, but that level of discussion has increased every month, while discussion of other games has decreased. It's now taking in 40% of all discussion of D&D-like games, with the next closest at 26% (Pathfinder). When Morrus first started tracking this, it was below Pathfinder in that discussion chart.</p><p></p><p>Also, when you look at the online polls for "intent to buy", they are virtually identical to the "intent to buy" polls 4e got at the same time. And, the sales for 4e, in the first year, far exceeded the initial sales of both 3e and 3.5e.</p><p></p><p>Those two factors combined, the high level of discussion on the internet, and the high level of intent to purchase, tell me using objective measures that you are incorrect.</p><p></p><p>Now, that does not mean it will sustain the high level of sales I think it is likely to see in the first year. That will depend entirely on whether or not people like the game. But I think interest in the game is <strong>very </strong>high. </p><p></p><p>Have you considered the possibility it's your own lack of interest and that of the people in your circle, and confirmation bias, at play in your conclusions?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mistwell, post: 6241992, member: 2525"] Not only is it the most-discussed RPG on the internet right now, but that level of discussion has increased every month, while discussion of other games has decreased. It's now taking in 40% of all discussion of D&D-like games, with the next closest at 26% (Pathfinder). When Morrus first started tracking this, it was below Pathfinder in that discussion chart. Also, when you look at the online polls for "intent to buy", they are virtually identical to the "intent to buy" polls 4e got at the same time. And, the sales for 4e, in the first year, far exceeded the initial sales of both 3e and 3.5e. Those two factors combined, the high level of discussion on the internet, and the high level of intent to purchase, tell me using objective measures that you are incorrect. Now, that does not mean it will sustain the high level of sales I think it is likely to see in the first year. That will depend entirely on whether or not people like the game. But I think interest in the game is [B]very [/B]high. Have you considered the possibility it's your own lack of interest and that of the people in your circle, and confirmation bias, at play in your conclusions? [/QUOTE]
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