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Why I Think D&DN is In Trouble
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<blockquote data-quote="Imaro" data-source="post: 6243542" data-attributes="member: 48965"><p>But interest doesn't correlate to market share or even popularity, especially since people could be talking negatively about the game and it would still register as a higher number on these charts.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Yes, and that's easily provable but when you get into lower ranked games I don't think it's anywhere as near clear cut as that.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>I don't think you can assume this correlation, especially like I said when you get into games that sell magnitudes less than Pathfinder and D&D... at least not at the level where you can give exact numbers for market share based on it.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Never said it was causation and I know it's not 100% However where we differ is in how accurate it is for smaller games or things like the OSR. So yes I have serious doubts, and I don't think the rough comparison would hold for smaller games but again, I could be wrong.</p><p></p><p></p><p>EDIT: The other thing I don't get is if RPG players who post on forums are not a representative sample of the larger group of RPG'ers... how can tracking what games they are talking about provide us with insight into the market as a whole?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Imaro, post: 6243542, member: 48965"] But interest doesn't correlate to market share or even popularity, especially since people could be talking negatively about the game and it would still register as a higher number on these charts. Yes, and that's easily provable but when you get into lower ranked games I don't think it's anywhere as near clear cut as that. I don't think you can assume this correlation, especially like I said when you get into games that sell magnitudes less than Pathfinder and D&D... at least not at the level where you can give exact numbers for market share based on it. Never said it was causation and I know it's not 100% However where we differ is in how accurate it is for smaller games or things like the OSR. So yes I have serious doubts, and I don't think the rough comparison would hold for smaller games but again, I could be wrong. EDIT: The other thing I don't get is if RPG players who post on forums are not a representative sample of the larger group of RPG'ers... how can tracking what games they are talking about provide us with insight into the market as a whole? [/QUOTE]
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