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General Tabletop Discussion
D&D Older Editions, OSR, & D&D Variants
Will 4e last longer than 3e?
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<blockquote data-quote="BlackMoria" data-source="post: 3927099" data-attributes="member: 424"><p>I think 5e will be earlier rather than later.</p><p></p><p>I base that on several things:</p><p></p><p>Despite being in development for two years, a number of things still seem to be in flux based on some comments made by the designers. I don't know if 3E had things nailed down at the same point in the development cycle but if things are not nailed down in short order, then potentially hasty decisions may lead to fixing things sooner rather than later.</p><p></p><p>If the intent is to release a PHB each year, there will come a point that late adopters (ie. new players 5 years from now) have a real barrier to fully embracing the game because they will need to get PHB X for the druid rules, PHB Y for the Illusionist, PHB Z for whatever else they want ..... and this on top of the core PHB. Imagine coming into 4E at the 8 year mark and thinking you are missing out unless you buy 8 annual PHBs. 5E coming sooner than later will address this to a degree.</p><p></p><p>Alot of factors of 4E longevity is dependent on the DI. If the DI flops or has problems, I expect 4E sales are going to cool. Remember, the DI is going to be the source of errata and 'value added' information for 4E. Problems with the DI are going to color perceptions and affect sales in the long run, which may move the plans for 5E. Not that I am predicting the DI will fail but WOTC, after building and hyping the DI, had better get it right the first go around or there is going to be a hell of lot of disappointed or disillusioned people.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BlackMoria, post: 3927099, member: 424"] I think 5e will be earlier rather than later. I base that on several things: Despite being in development for two years, a number of things still seem to be in flux based on some comments made by the designers. I don't know if 3E had things nailed down at the same point in the development cycle but if things are not nailed down in short order, then potentially hasty decisions may lead to fixing things sooner rather than later. If the intent is to release a PHB each year, there will come a point that late adopters (ie. new players 5 years from now) have a real barrier to fully embracing the game because they will need to get PHB X for the druid rules, PHB Y for the Illusionist, PHB Z for whatever else they want ..... and this on top of the core PHB. Imagine coming into 4E at the 8 year mark and thinking you are missing out unless you buy 8 annual PHBs. 5E coming sooner than later will address this to a degree. Alot of factors of 4E longevity is dependent on the DI. If the DI flops or has problems, I expect 4E sales are going to cool. Remember, the DI is going to be the source of errata and 'value added' information for 4E. Problems with the DI are going to color perceptions and affect sales in the long run, which may move the plans for 5E. Not that I am predicting the DI will fail but WOTC, after building and hyping the DI, had better get it right the first go around or there is going to be a hell of lot of disappointed or disillusioned people. [/QUOTE]
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General Tabletop Discussion
D&D Older Editions, OSR, & D&D Variants
Will 4e last longer than 3e?
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