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<blockquote data-quote="Celebrim" data-source="post: 3927424" data-attributes="member: 4937">Four years.There are several factors:1) 4e is being bundled tightly to a particular setting.2) The long historic cycles are not a product of business demands, but rather business turmoil.&nbsp; 3) As much as anything, 3.X died under its own weight.&nbsp; Eventually its own success killed it.&nbsp; Consider how many hard covers 3rd had compared to 1st or 2nd.&nbsp; Earlier editions lived longer because they had fewer supplements.&nbsp; Like smaller stars, it took longer to burn them out.&nbsp; The supplement publishing cycle being adopted in 4e demands an even faster turnover than we saw in 3rd edition.&nbsp; I'd be surprised if 4e lasted much longer than the time span between 3.0 and 3.5.4) Gaming as a whole is evolving rapidly now due to the increased ubiquitousness of the internet and high speed computing.&nbsp; The line between Pen and Paper game and cRPG is being blurred in a way not possible in the 80's or most of the 90's.&nbsp; It's possible the gaming scene will change so much in the next four years that WotC will feel the need for even further changes in its rules to accomodate the needs of what is latest and greatest in other formats.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Celebrim, post: 3927424, member: 4937"] Four years. There are several factors: 1) 4e is being bundled tightly to a particular setting. 2) The long historic cycles are not a product of business demands, but rather business turmoil. 3) As much as anything, 3.X died under its own weight. Eventually its own success killed it. Consider how many hard covers 3rd had compared to 1st or 2nd. Earlier editions lived longer because they had fewer supplements. Like smaller stars, it took longer to burn them out. The supplement publishing cycle being adopted in 4e demands an even faster turnover than we saw in 3rd edition. I'd be surprised if 4e lasted much longer than the time span between 3.0 and 3.5. 4) Gaming as a whole is evolving rapidly now due to the increased ubiquitousness of the internet and high speed computing. The line between Pen and Paper game and cRPG is being blurred in a way not possible in the 80's or most of the 90's. It's possible the gaming scene will change so much in the next four years that WotC will feel the need for even further changes in its rules to accomodate the needs of what is latest and greatest in other formats. [/QUOTE]

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