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General Tabletop Discussion
D&D Older Editions, OSR, & D&D Variants
Will 4e last longer than 3e?
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<blockquote data-quote="Jan van Leyden" data-source="post: 3927708" data-attributes="member: 20307"><p>Let's put another spin on it.</p><p></p><p>According to the designers, it took them some 3 years from starting the design work to the release of 4e. If they start designing 5e right away, it could hit the market in 2011.</p><p></p><p>But this would leave WotC with a much reduced workforce for the supplemental material for 4e. So from a business perspective the question is: when does it start making more sense to let the designers work on 5e than on PHB/DMG/MM #n for 4e. This is related to the success of the 4e publishing model.</p><p></p><p>If PHB/DMG/MM 2 (Core 2) bomb in 2009, WotC faces several options:</p><p></p><p>They can allocate their workforce to 5e, resulting in the next edition's entry to the market in 2012. </p><p></p><p>They can make plans for a different business model. After deciding on this, design work on 5e can begin. How long it will take depends on the new business model.</p><p></p><p>They can sell the property, so that some time in 2010/2011 a new owner has to decide how to manage D&D.</p><p></p><p>If Core 2 sells as expected in the business plans and Core 1 meets the expectations in 2009/2010 as well, Scott Rouse's predicted live time of 8-10 years will come to fruition.</p><p></p><p>Personally, I would place my bet on the last option and expect 5e in 2016. What it will look like, what role books will play in that edition, that remains to be seen.</p><p></p><p>Huldvoll</p><p></p><p>Jan van Leyden</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jan van Leyden, post: 3927708, member: 20307"] Let's put another spin on it. According to the designers, it took them some 3 years from starting the design work to the release of 4e. If they start designing 5e right away, it could hit the market in 2011. But this would leave WotC with a much reduced workforce for the supplemental material for 4e. So from a business perspective the question is: when does it start making more sense to let the designers work on 5e than on PHB/DMG/MM #n for 4e. This is related to the success of the 4e publishing model. If PHB/DMG/MM 2 (Core 2) bomb in 2009, WotC faces several options: They can allocate their workforce to 5e, resulting in the next edition's entry to the market in 2012. They can make plans for a different business model. After deciding on this, design work on 5e can begin. How long it will take depends on the new business model. They can sell the property, so that some time in 2010/2011 a new owner has to decide how to manage D&D. If Core 2 sells as expected in the business plans and Core 1 meets the expectations in 2009/2010 as well, Scott Rouse's predicted live time of 8-10 years will come to fruition. Personally, I would place my bet on the last option and expect 5e in 2016. What it will look like, what role books will play in that edition, that remains to be seen. Huldvoll Jan van Leyden [/QUOTE]
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General Tabletop Discussion
D&D Older Editions, OSR, & D&D Variants
Will 4e last longer than 3e?
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