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Message: <blockquote data-quote="collin" data-source="post: 3932737" data-attributes="member: 6757">Well thought-out answer!  I agree with practically everything you said, except for the last part.  I think 4e will be the last paper-and-pencil edition of D&D.My tendency is to think that 4e will burn brighter and faster than 3x, largely due to the balance of attracting some new players but losing even more of the long-time D&D afficionados.   However, there are 1-2 factors involved with this edition which throw a wrench into the predictions, namely the internet subscription to D&D insider.  That computer element will likely appeal to a lot players, particularly new ones.  Depending on how WotC forecasts their revenue vs. expenses, I expect the books will not sell as well as predicted, but D&DI will generate more revenue that expected.  That may offset things, and force WotC to move more towards computer-based and internet-based gaming, because the market will steer things that way.  WotC is not catering to us old geezers who began playing D&D with 1st or 2nd edition.  They want the big money: teen-agers and 20-somethings, who have more expendible income and time to play these games.  These folks could get together to play as a live group more often than somebody like me, but they are so hooked into the computer age they will likely reject that option in favor of computer gaming.  Heck, they'll probably all gather together in a room, but use their laptops to play D&D across from each other rather than roll dice.  Sacrilige!  It's the way of the future, and WotC must cater to it and embrace it or the whole line goes belly-up.So in a nutshell, D&DI may allow 4e to hang around a while longer than even a realist like me expects because of the greater attraction and revenue it will generate, much like the unanticipated sales of D&D miniatures out-pacing any of the 3.5 supplemental books.  A 5th edition, if published by WotC, will be all internet/computer based. :\</blockquote>

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