Menu
News
All News
Dungeons & Dragons
Level Up: Advanced 5th Edition
Pathfinder
Starfinder
Warhammer
2d20 System
Year Zero Engine
Industry News
Reviews
Dragon Reflections
Columns
Weekly Digests
Weekly News Digest
Freebies, Sales & Bundles
RPG Print News
RPG Crowdfunding News
Game Content
ENterplanetary DimENsions
Mythological Figures
Opinion
Worlds of Design
Peregrine's Next
RPG Evolution
Other Columns
From the Freelancing Frontline
Monster ENcyclopedia
WotC/TSR Alumni Look Back
4 Hours w/RSD (Ryan Dancey)
The Road to 3E (Jonathan Tweet)
Greenwood's Realms (Ed Greenwood)
Drawmij's TSR (Jim Ward)
Community
Forums & Topics
Forum List
Latest Posts
Forum list
*Dungeons & Dragons
Level Up: Advanced 5th Edition
D&D Older Editions
*TTRPGs General
*Pathfinder & Starfinder
EN Publishing
*Geek Talk & Media
Search forums
Chat/Discord
Resources
Wiki
Pages
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Downloads
Latest reviews
Search resources
EN Publishing
Store
EN5ider
Adventures in ZEITGEIST
Awfully Cheerful Engine
What's OLD is NEW
Judge Dredd & The Worlds Of 2000AD
War of the Burning Sky
Level Up: Advanced 5E
Events & Releases
Upcoming Events
Private Events
Featured Events
Socials!
Twitch
YouTube
Facebook (EN Publishing)
Facebook (EN World)
Twitter
Instagram
TikTok
Podcast
Features
Top 5 RPGs Compiled Charts 2004-Present
Adventure Game Industry Market Research Summary (RPGs) V1.0
Ryan Dancey: Acquiring TSR
Q&A With Gary Gygax
D&D Rules FAQs
TSR, WotC, & Paizo: A Comparative History
D&D Pronunciation Guide
Million Dollar TTRPG Kickstarters
Tabletop RPG Podcast Hall of Fame
Eric Noah's Unofficial D&D 3rd Edition News
D&D in the Mainstream
D&D & RPG History
About Morrus
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
Forums & Topics
Forum List
Latest Posts
Forum list
*Dungeons & Dragons
Level Up: Advanced 5th Edition
D&D Older Editions
*TTRPGs General
*Pathfinder & Starfinder
EN Publishing
*Geek Talk & Media
Search forums
Chat/Discord
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
The
VOIDRUNNER'S CODEX
is coming! Explore new worlds, fight oppressive empires, fend off fearsome aliens, and wield deadly psionics with this comprehensive boxed set expansion for 5E and A5E!
Community
General Tabletop Discussion
*Dungeons & Dragons
Xanathar's Elven Accuracy
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="clearstream" data-source="post: 7279266" data-attributes="member: 71699"><p>I agree with you that it is fairly strong. One way to assess it is to look at the combinations on the dice.</p><p></p><p>misses/out-of</p><p>10/20</p><p>10/20*10/20 = 100/400</p><p>10/20*10/20*10/20 = 1000/8000</p><p></p><p>1/20</p><p>1/20*1/20 = 1/400</p><p>1/20*1/20*1/20 = 1/8000</p><p></p><p>19/20</p><p>19/20*19/20 = 361/400</p><p>19/20*19/20*19/20 = 6859/8000</p><p></p><p>Say a group plays once a week for two years, making one check of each type per session. How many missed checks of each type might groups like that experience?</p><p></p><p>50% = all experience up to 40 missed checks, half experience up to 52</p><p>25% = all experience up to 16 missed checks, half experience up to 26</p><p>12.5% = all experience up to 6 missed checks, half experience up to 13</p><p></p><p>5% = all experience up to 1 missed check, half experience up to 5</p><p>0.25% = about one-in-five groups experience 1 missed check</p><p>0.0125% = about one-in-eighty groups experience 1 missed check</p><p></p><p>95% = all experience up to 92 missed checks, half experience 99</p><p>90.25% = all experience up to 86 missed checks, half experience 94</p><p>85.7375% = all experience up to 81 missed checks, half experience 89</p><p></p><p>For reference at 35% (the average chance of missing against CR appropriate foes) all experience up to 25 missed checks, half experience 36</p><p></p><p><strong>All</strong> means >99/100 such groups, <strong>half</strong> means >50/100.</p><p></p><p>Maybe that can be narrated by saying that most groups will hardly notice the change in frequency for critical hits, but groups should notice the change in frequency for ordinary hits. For example, missing every fortnight improving to missing twice per three months, to missing once per four months.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="clearstream, post: 7279266, member: 71699"] I agree with you that it is fairly strong. One way to assess it is to look at the combinations on the dice. misses/out-of 10/20 10/20*10/20 = 100/400 10/20*10/20*10/20 = 1000/8000 1/20 1/20*1/20 = 1/400 1/20*1/20*1/20 = 1/8000 19/20 19/20*19/20 = 361/400 19/20*19/20*19/20 = 6859/8000 Say a group plays once a week for two years, making one check of each type per session. How many missed checks of each type might groups like that experience? 50% = all experience up to 40 missed checks, half experience up to 52 25% = all experience up to 16 missed checks, half experience up to 26 12.5% = all experience up to 6 missed checks, half experience up to 13 5% = all experience up to 1 missed check, half experience up to 5 0.25% = about one-in-five groups experience 1 missed check 0.0125% = about one-in-eighty groups experience 1 missed check 95% = all experience up to 92 missed checks, half experience 99 90.25% = all experience up to 86 missed checks, half experience 94 85.7375% = all experience up to 81 missed checks, half experience 89 For reference at 35% (the average chance of missing against CR appropriate foes) all experience up to 25 missed checks, half experience 36 [B]All[/B] means >99/100 such groups, [B]half[/B] means >50/100. Maybe that can be narrated by saying that most groups will hardly notice the change in frequency for critical hits, but groups should notice the change in frequency for ordinary hits. For example, missing every fortnight improving to missing twice per three months, to missing once per four months. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Community
General Tabletop Discussion
*Dungeons & Dragons
Xanathar's Elven Accuracy
Top