When you throw the pass so that the receiver has to jump 3 feet in the air to catch it, do you expect me to not go for the tackle??
Of course you don't go for the tackle when they are already in the end zone.
For some people, the shift of the pendulum towards 3.x/4E is a large failure. For others, it is a success.
And until it comes to a full stop, it will always swing back.
More than likely. Diminishing returns, blahblahblah. (Not to dismiss the argument as being insignificant, but it has been beaten to death so many times that I don't think that it is really worth it to go down that rabbit hole.) When you boil everything down to the basics, the people in charge of D&D at WotC decided that it was time for a change.
Whether it was a good decision or a bad decision will be one that we are too close to (in terms of time) to determine. However, when considering whether it is good or not, I think that it is important to also look at the impact of the change on other companies who were in the right place at the right time with the right expertise to take advantage of that change. (cough*Paizo*cough*)
For example, if WotC *had* decided to stay with 3.X, would Paizo have the same importance in the RPG sphere as it does now?
OH don't hide it, even as one of the VCLs or whatever you are called over
there now WotC and HASBRO both has to take note of Paizo.
But that is still all based on your first cough...profitability.
Paizo, nor profit, will actually help D&D with any changes, only reduce the amount of red ink needed to create (if WotC stops using 3/2 page artwork they could reduce their red ink usage even more.

)
I think Erik et all were pretty much going to release their version of OGL no matter what WotC did. I don't think, after the magazine fiasco, Erik was just going to sit happy to ride on WotC coattails. I always felt and expected something of a system from him even back during the days of The Dragon.
Wasn't quite sure what to expect, but expected something none the less.
Just so happens that project may have gotten pushed forward or to the top of the heap much quicker than was suspected by WotC's own actions that has put WotC in the position they are now in.
4th or not, I knew, felt it in my gut, something was going to come from Erik Mona in the way of a game system. There was just too much creativity there to keep it caged up.
I don't use Pathfinder, but glad that creativity didn't just go to waste and had an outlet to be put too, and happy other enjoy it.
It's refreshing, actually. A discussion where both people are actually discussing as opposed to insulting and/or setting up straw men to attack.
Is that all that still goes on over
there?