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  1. Umbran

    Let's Talk About Short Campaigns

    My sessions, as an accepting nod to reality of playing on a work night, are unfortunatley short. The result, for me, is that even "short" campaigns take up a long chunk of the real calendar.
  2. Umbran

    GAMA's Communications Manager Declares Organization 'Broken'

    So, I do not argue that GAMA is run by good people, but this gatekeeping statement seems a bit strong compared to my experience with them. Like, back before the Affordable Care Act, people who didn't work for big companies had a lot of issues getting health insurance. I went to a local larp...
  3. Umbran

    Pineapple Express: Someone Is Wrong on the Internet?

    No, this is from Pew and Gallup, not from registration records.
  4. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    Not a great assumption. When you point a telescope at another planet over a hundred light years away, it isn't like you get a clear and full accounting of everything in that atmosphere. Mostly, you get starlight. And there's some very small variation in it from the atmosphere absorbing...
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    1744991976466.png

  6. Umbran

    Pineapple Express: Someone Is Wrong on the Internet?

    I understand the joke, but I feel maybe some data is useful to actual understanding... About 30% of adult Americans own guns.
  7. Umbran

    Pineapple Express: Someone Is Wrong on the Internet?

    Then.. it isn't unloved, is it?
  8. Umbran

    WotC Would you buy WotC products produced or enhanced with AI?

    Yes. At its root, this is all an epistemological argument, and it is butting up at least two, very likely three or more different definitions of "truth" that don't entirely match. This results, perhaps inadvertently, in a fallacious argument by equivocation. A mathematician, a hard...
  9. Umbran

    WotC Would you buy WotC products produced or enhanced with AI?

    Except... it does, within the scope in which it was defined. As noticed previously, Newtonian physics isn't false, it is incomplete. Get in your car, and drive. Newtonian physics and Einsteinian physics will agree upon what happens to you, up to the level of precision you can measure your...
  10. Umbran

    WotC Would you buy WotC products produced or enhanced with AI?

    The empirical justification? You realize. of course, that knowing that you have an empirical justification requires math, right? "Empirical justification" is code for "statistically relevant sign that the hypothesis is correct." And statistics is... math.
  11. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    Yes. Well, no. Imagine you are standing outside a bedroom door. On the floor, there's a dirty sweatsock. Do you figure that, when you open the door, the only think you'll see is dirty sweatsocks? Or do you expect to see the full panoply of stuff you'd see in, say, a teenage boy's bedroom...
  12. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    This is another possible solution to the Fermi Paradox. We assume we are intelligent. We guess that, if interstellar travel is possible, we are really just a little way from it, and that that whoever reaches the stars will be very much like we are. Like, in a century or two, we'll have it...
  13. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    Time to note the Drake Equation: N = R* × fp × ne × fl × fi × fc × L Where N, the number of civilizations currently transmitting signals, depends on seven factors: R* is the yearly formation rate of stars hospitable to planets where life could develop fp is the fraction of those stars with...
  14. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    Yes. in mathematics there are concepts of the "sizes" of infinities. So, I think I understand the question. I just don't know the answer. Well, one can conjure up any number of reasons why, say, galactic civilization hasn't contacted us. We came up with one ourselves, well-known in pop...
  15. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    Hrmph! The power of AND sir!
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    1744944457458.png

  17. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    In what sense are you using the term "universe"? In a cosmological sense, the universe shows all the signs of being infinite in scope. And, if that is true, then it merely needs to be around long enough for one civilization to arise for there to, in fact, be infinite civilizations in...
  18. Umbran

    "Promising hints of life on distant planet"

    Not really. The list of things that are as certain, or more certain, than civilization is quite long.
  19. Umbran

    Recommend some Solarpunk or Hopepunk books for my book club!

    Ecological hopepunk. Stories about building a sustainable world.
  20. Umbran

    WotC Would you buy WotC products produced or enhanced with AI?

    I think it would be better to note that nothing is instantaneous. The scientific method is a process, and that process is not "one scientist does one experiment". The scientific method is akin to a process of erosion. It is a process that takes years and centuries to grind away that which is...
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