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Totally incorrect about the first statement. The margin of error is (currently 913 votes), at the 95% confidence level, 0.98/sqrt(913) ~ 0.03 = 3%. Now, whether it's a representative sample of anything is a totally separate question (and that's been my point all along). At best it's possibly...

I did read Derren's post, and that's why I replied. At no point did he mention supplements. At no point did he use the phrase "towards the end" or anything remotely like that. You are making that up. So, again, his analysis is correct if you compare core-rules to core-rules.

I'll say it again -- IF the sampled fraction is small, THEN the simplied math applies in which population size is "completely irrelevant to the accuracy" of the poll. And that's the case we're actually in, the case misunderstood by the prior poster, the case of any standard poll. Whether the...

Compare core-rules to core-rules.

The thing that really stupefies me about 4E is how many people bought the books without surveying them or researching them first. I don't like 4E. So I didn't buy the books.

I've been saying this a lot lately -- The overall population number is completely irrelevant to the accuracy of any poll (internet or not, self-selected or not). If the poll fails to be representative, it has nothing to do with the size of the fraction polled. Statistical sampling theory in...

I can agree with you about the timeframe, but if powerful wizard protagonists are an exception, then D&D is pretty explicitly built on those literary exceptions. In addition to Merlin post-1950, you have Gandalf (Tolkein's Lord of the Rings), Mazirian and Rhialto and others (Vance's Dying...

Whether it's representative or not has almost nothing to do with the number of votes cast.

So there's as robust a community as possible to form playgroups from. More people equals easier for me to find players for my preferred game.

I voted Portrait. In the past I thought the Landscape would be better, but then I realized the following: (a) My PDF reader can just display Portrait in two facing pages, giving me effective landscape for reading on a monitor. (b) My PDF reader can also print out Portrait pages "booklet style"...

Kind-of. I'll agree with your assessment of the weakness of the GSL (termination/change at any time). But you've missed the real strength of the OGL, and overlooked the d20 STL entirely. I'll try a fix: OGL/d20 STL: Two licenses that build on each other. The OGL is irrevocable and permanent...

For me, all of those lower panels are blank. I've tried several times throughout the day.

(a) So this is like a rewind to November 2007. Here we go all over again. Personally I'd recommend that any 3PP's not delay their publishing plans (again) in anticipation of this "very soon" GSL plan. (b) The link in the OP (D&D welcome page) doesn't have any info on this topic at the moment.

That doesn't make any sense at all. Are you planning on making up margins of error in the future as well?

I know that spell as massmorph from 1E AD&D. It's odd to realize that it didn't get into the 3E core rules. Maybe someone made a 3E conversion at some point. [/SIZE][/FONT]

This post makes no sense whatsoever. Indicating "+/-10" in a statistical discussion means something very specific and calculable (see my prior post), and you've just made this up as an entire fiction. Is this supposed to be a joke?

Bolen: Yes, pretty much. It may be less that popular culture grew accepting, and more that D&D's waning popularity made it less of a media target.

Started with 1E; so my experience is opposite that of the OP. One of the most intriguing parts of OD&D & 1E were the demon entires (and ties to actual mythology). One of the biggest puzzles was to see their identities plastered-over and retconned in 2E (as the renamed-alien-monsters) or BXCMI...

Whether it's representative or not has nothing to do with what percentage of the population you've got responses from. See my earlier post.

The problem is that WOTC's resources in software development are nil, because they're not a computer-game company. And software development is a relatively difficult business (as compared to toy and book publishing).