I would be surprised if a Baldies Gate 4 hits the same thing in the bottle like BG3 did.
On name recognition alone AND fond memories of BG3 might even make it a success.But everybody would probably go "Man, it's not as good as BG3" once the honeymoon phase is over.
Case in point:
https://www.m-g.com.au/product/dd-forgotten-realms-heroes-of-faerun-alt-art/?srsltid=AfmBOoq_OWlCFOXbE4ytP1g1YKKgVL02QeFFo7Gtup6JO90ovQaPq2di
I want those alt covers badly. And I'm better make sure to pre-order em when I can cuz I have a hunch that once they are out, they could be a pain in the butt to get at market retail value value. Those scalpers will probably try to jack up the prices to ride on that BG3 high/popularity.
My purple planet backerkit experience was smooth. I just got the Collectors Alt cover and the latest DCC rulebook cover with the chick straddling the Eldritch abomination. So, probably a good thing I didn't go hog wild if they screwed up that bad.