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4.33 Years in: What Now for 5E? (and have we reached "Peak Edition?")
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<blockquote data-quote="Mercurius" data-source="post: 7528587" data-attributes="member: 59082"><p>Some thoughts...</p><p></p><p>I think we can say that 5E is very healthy and thriving, relative to recent past few editions. It isn't dead (4E), dying (3.5), or been updated/revised (3E). Even going back to 2E, it isn't over-glutting like 2E was at this point, which led to TSR's implosion. </p><p></p><p>That said, those various stages within an edition seem inevitable at some point. But when? We know that Mearls & Co want to stretch the edition out much longer than in previous iterations, at least of WotC D&D, but I can't recall ever hearing him actually say "evergreen." Could be wrong about that, though.</p><p></p><p>That said, I think the edition continues to thrive for a few more years, at least. It is just doing too well to see significant decline anytime soon. I also think we'll see 4 products per year as a regular course of action; as I suggested in another thread, we might see two adventure books, one setting book, and one rules supplement. We'll see classic settings revived, and maybe a surprise or two along the way.</p><p></p><p>I think at some point we'll see a revised version of 5E, but with the gift set just out I don't think that will be anytime soon. Maybe we see something akin to "5.2" in a few years, but certainly not before 2020-21, if even then.</p><p></p><p>One date to keep in mind is 2024, which is the 50th anniversary of D&D. That is my best guess for "6th edition," in whatever form it comes. Beyond that, we really have to see where things are at in 3-4 years before speculating further on what 6E might entail. Will it be another big change, after a decade of 5E style play, or will it be more like a 5.5?</p><p></p><p>Anyhow, so my view is that we are still another couple years from "peak edition," with more really good years ahead. At some point, though, there will be a shift. My guess is sometime in the 2020-21 range. Then we'll start hearing rumblings of a new edition, or 50th anniversary edition starting in 2022...</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mercurius, post: 7528587, member: 59082"] Some thoughts... I think we can say that 5E is very healthy and thriving, relative to recent past few editions. It isn't dead (4E), dying (3.5), or been updated/revised (3E). Even going back to 2E, it isn't over-glutting like 2E was at this point, which led to TSR's implosion. That said, those various stages within an edition seem inevitable at some point. But when? We know that Mearls & Co want to stretch the edition out much longer than in previous iterations, at least of WotC D&D, but I can't recall ever hearing him actually say "evergreen." Could be wrong about that, though. That said, I think the edition continues to thrive for a few more years, at least. It is just doing too well to see significant decline anytime soon. I also think we'll see 4 products per year as a regular course of action; as I suggested in another thread, we might see two adventure books, one setting book, and one rules supplement. We'll see classic settings revived, and maybe a surprise or two along the way. I think at some point we'll see a revised version of 5E, but with the gift set just out I don't think that will be anytime soon. Maybe we see something akin to "5.2" in a few years, but certainly not before 2020-21, if even then. One date to keep in mind is 2024, which is the 50th anniversary of D&D. That is my best guess for "6th edition," in whatever form it comes. Beyond that, we really have to see where things are at in 3-4 years before speculating further on what 6E might entail. Will it be another big change, after a decade of 5E style play, or will it be more like a 5.5? Anyhow, so my view is that we are still another couple years from "peak edition," with more really good years ahead. At some point, though, there will be a shift. My guess is sometime in the 2020-21 range. Then we'll start hearing rumblings of a new edition, or 50th anniversary edition starting in 2022... [/QUOTE]
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