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D&D Movie Hit or Flop?
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<blockquote data-quote="OB1" data-source="post: 8953007" data-attributes="member: 6796241"><p>I think we'll get a better sense after it screens at SxSW in a couple weeks, but even the fact that they're showing it there tells me they think they have a pretty good film on their hands. Add to that I've heard from two (non-Paramount) industry people who've seen it (one a D&D fan, one with no D&D background, who also predicted Top Gun's success after seeing it at an early screening last year) who both loved it, along with it getting distribution in China, and I'll enthusiastically take the over. I think it get's to $500M worldwide for sure, and has a chance for $600M. It will be in a fight with Super Mario Bros all of April, but 'family' movies haven't performed as well as those targeted to teens and young adults since the pandemic, so D&D should stay strong until GotG3 in May.</p><p></p><p>The original Guardians is a weird comp to D&D. Of course it had the benefit of being a Marvel property as Marvel was growing in popularity, but there was a lot of worry about it being Marvel's first flop at the time. It had the benefit of being a really great movie (not just a Marvel movie) that led it to $330 domestic and $780M worldwide. If D&D is a funny, audience friendly film with great characters (exactly what I heard) then I think it getting to 2/3s of that total without the Marvel brand is doable.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OB1, post: 8953007, member: 6796241"] I think we'll get a better sense after it screens at SxSW in a couple weeks, but even the fact that they're showing it there tells me they think they have a pretty good film on their hands. Add to that I've heard from two (non-Paramount) industry people who've seen it (one a D&D fan, one with no D&D background, who also predicted Top Gun's success after seeing it at an early screening last year) who both loved it, along with it getting distribution in China, and I'll enthusiastically take the over. I think it get's to $500M worldwide for sure, and has a chance for $600M. It will be in a fight with Super Mario Bros all of April, but 'family' movies haven't performed as well as those targeted to teens and young adults since the pandemic, so D&D should stay strong until GotG3 in May. The original Guardians is a weird comp to D&D. Of course it had the benefit of being a Marvel property as Marvel was growing in popularity, but there was a lot of worry about it being Marvel's first flop at the time. It had the benefit of being a really great movie (not just a Marvel movie) that led it to $330 domestic and $780M worldwide. If D&D is a funny, audience friendly film with great characters (exactly what I heard) then I think it getting to 2/3s of that total without the Marvel brand is doable. [/QUOTE]
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D&D Movie Hit or Flop?
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