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<blockquote data-quote="Zardnaar" data-source="post: 8983929" data-attributes="member: 6716779">Movies these days are very front loaded first 3 weekends. From here on out it's all downhill.&nbsp;Crunch the numbers out. 45% Deadlines numbers (I'll round to 50% easier math)Worldwide70 million, 35 million. 17 million, 8.5.&nbsp;Thats not even its budget back in 4 weeks let alone double it (cf John Wick week 2). The missing 5% doesn't matter (easier math do it at 40% if it makes you feel better)&nbsp;After week 4 the returns are gonna be marginal even of the drop off smooths out higher than 45%.&nbsp;That doesn't add up to 300 million even adding 10-15 million for weekdays.&nbsp; And that 10-15 million is also gonna drop.&nbsp;It's not impossible but they have to hit close to 30% drop off and keep that 10-15 million weekdays have a very gradual decline.&nbsp; So can't call it yet but it's not looking good on projected numbers.&nbsp;20% numbers70, 50, 40, 32&nbsp;Weekdays15, 12, 9.6, 7.6ish 237ish million.&nbsp;That's with a very very generous drop off and the movie vastly exceeds projections. Afterweek 3 numbers are usually way down typically for any movie.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Zardnaar, post: 8983929, member: 6716779"] Movies these days are very front loaded first 3 weekends. From here on out it's all downhill. Crunch the numbers out. 45% Deadlines numbers (I'll round to 50% easier math) Worldwide 70 million, 35 million. 17 million, 8.5. Thats not even its budget back in 4 weeks let alone double it (cf John Wick week 2). The missing 5% doesn't matter (easier math do it at 40% if it makes you feel better) After week 4 the returns are gonna be marginal even of the drop off smooths out higher than 45%. That doesn't add up to 300 million even adding 10-15 million for weekdays. And that 10-15 million is also gonna drop. It's not impossible but they have to hit close to 30% drop off and keep that 10-15 million weekdays have a very gradual decline. So can't call it yet but it's not looking good on projected numbers. 20% numbers 70, 50, 40, 32 Weekdays 15, 12, 9.6, 7.6ish 237ish million. That's with a very very generous drop off and the movie vastly exceeds projections. Afterweek 3 numbers are usually way down typically for any movie. [/QUOTE]

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