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D&D Movie Hit or Flop?
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<blockquote data-quote="Zardnaar" data-source="post: 8984997" data-attributes="member: 6716779"><p>We don't have access to those numbers though.</p><p></p><p> If it doesn't do that well at the box office it's gonna get reported as a flop.</p><p> If it flops hard enough it's not gonna get much money from streaming. Those details are not generally publicly known but the highest number paid by Netflix is 160-200 million.</p><p></p><p> Did say earlier if it gets between 300-450 million we won't really know because of things like streaming rights and other income eg renting it and streaming it that way.</p><p></p><p> But your streaming rights fees are dependent on its box office returns it seems. You're not getting blockbuster numbers on streaming if the movie does poorly you're probably not going to get much in merchandising and other flow on income.</p><p></p><p> If it comes in around 200 million its going to get reported as a flop. And it's a very big hole they're unlikely to make up with streaming rights even if Netflix pays blockbuster money.</p><p></p><p> Even if Netflix paid blockbuster money on it's current trends and forecast drop off its close to its guesstimate break even point assuming Netflix or someone else us willing to pay $150 million (which is very unlikely).</p><p></p><p> It's not impossible but it's not looking good on the basic numbers even with an extra 150 million added its around the break even point.</p><p></p><p> I used John Wick and Mario as examples of movies that by now made their budget very quickly. Mario's likely to pass that point this weekend.</p><p></p><p> D&D is only just over half way to its budget. 45% projected falloff this weekend Those numbers are not good for hitting 300-400 million.</p><p></p><p> And how much they can get from streaming will be determined by the box office performance. Only blockbusters get the numbers needed to make up the difference.</p><p></p><p> All I'm saying it's on track to under perform at the box office. It might be able to make the difference up elsewhere but that income is also sonewhsrreluant on the box office as well for streaming rights and indirectly merchandise.</p><p></p><p> I'm making no predictions on if it makes enough for a sequel or not. No one here has access to thise numbers or even if they do lose money Hasbro might decide on sequels anyway.</p><p></p><p> Objectively it's not a smash hit that's John Wick or Mario's projections.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Zardnaar, post: 8984997, member: 6716779"] We don't have access to those numbers though. If it doesn't do that well at the box office it's gonna get reported as a flop. If it flops hard enough it's not gonna get much money from streaming. Those details are not generally publicly known but the highest number paid by Netflix is 160-200 million. Did say earlier if it gets between 300-450 million we won't really know because of things like streaming rights and other income eg renting it and streaming it that way. But your streaming rights fees are dependent on its box office returns it seems. You're not getting blockbuster numbers on streaming if the movie does poorly you're probably not going to get much in merchandising and other flow on income. If it comes in around 200 million its going to get reported as a flop. And it's a very big hole they're unlikely to make up with streaming rights even if Netflix pays blockbuster money. Even if Netflix paid blockbuster money on it's current trends and forecast drop off its close to its guesstimate break even point assuming Netflix or someone else us willing to pay $150 million (which is very unlikely). It's not impossible but it's not looking good on the basic numbers even with an extra 150 million added its around the break even point. I used John Wick and Mario as examples of movies that by now made their budget very quickly. Mario's likely to pass that point this weekend. D&D is only just over half way to its budget. 45% projected falloff this weekend Those numbers are not good for hitting 300-400 million. And how much they can get from streaming will be determined by the box office performance. Only blockbusters get the numbers needed to make up the difference. All I'm saying it's on track to under perform at the box office. It might be able to make the difference up elsewhere but that income is also sonewhsrreluant on the box office as well for streaming rights and indirectly merchandise. I'm making no predictions on if it makes enough for a sequel or not. No one here has access to thise numbers or even if they do lose money Hasbro might decide on sequels anyway. Objectively it's not a smash hit that's John Wick or Mario's projections. [/QUOTE]
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D&D Movie Hit or Flop?
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