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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Guest 7037866" data-source="post: 9512114">Correct, he won't be able to swim most of the time, but will simply walk upstream while searching for them. Since he can breath underwater, he can put his head under the water, etc. With his senses and affinity for water, I can't easily justify granting him disadvantage to find them, but even so his passive Perception is still 16. That will help the odds, certainly... so I'll have to give that more thought.BACKGROUND:The PCs killed a pair of Hydras in a swamp which the dragon was reluctant to tangle with head on, and then later cleared an underwater cave system which contained some magical crystals sahuagin were using to open a portal to the Elemental Plane of Water, flooding the swamp region and towns downriver.After defeating the sahuagin and closing the portal, the PCs took the magical crystals with them. The dragon's quasit discovered this and has been trailing the PCs for a few weeks since with the dragon lurking further back. The dragon found a deep section of river to launch its attack from, using control water to create a vortex, capturing the keelboat the party was on. I "dropped a hint" from the quasit about "master getting the magic shards" but the players didn't understand that the dragon's main concern was acquiring the magic crystals.So, battle ensued.No, you mis-read the odds. The 33% chance is the PCs will successfully stealth past the dragon given the resources they have. The odds the dragon will TPK the remaining 3 PCs?? Oh, I would guess 95% or so...The dragon saw the healer cast water breathing from a scroll during the first round of combat, so while it might not recognize the spell immediately (I will roll an Intelligence check during the session) it might figure it out later on. While not brilliant by any means, INT 14 is hardly stupid...This has been accounted for in the time calculations setting up the "will stealth work or will there be battle" encounter time and such.No, it is fairly remote. Since the PCs are actively trying to avoid attention, it is not as likely anyone will just happen upon them.The Rune Knight fighter has a couple runes which are their best bet at this point should it come down to combat. Otherwise, no, there really isn't anything. Getting the giant constrictor snake into the fight also will help a bit, but not much in my estimation.It's possible. It depends on the dragon's reaction roll to any attempt to surrender at the time. There is a -10 penalty since it is hostile and feels affronted by the defeat it suffered.The rogue has both invisibility AND a potion of gaseous form, and with his stealth capabilities in general will likely be the lone survivor if he flees. Thanks to his evasion, it avoided damage by the breath weapon twice already... very lucky, too.</blockquote>

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