I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that.
Does it really? Having a conversation about these issues is kind of like whack-a-mole, which is the same feeling I get when there are discussions about flat earth, or sovereign citizens.This is the sort of glossing over I was talking about. At the top of that quote, Arneson seems to speak of Chainmail’s “Matrix based combat system” holistically. The Fantasy Combat Table is by no means the only combat matrix in Chainmail, and it’s quite possible he’s talking about the Man-to-Man tables or even the mass combat tables. They can all be characterized as “winner take all”. Speaking as if the Fantasy Combat Table is the only matrix in Chainmail assumes a lack of familiarity with the material in your audience.
But let's play your game. Here's what you said again-
"it’s at least conceivable that his many mentions of using “Chainmail” for early sessions of Blackmoor were in reference to the pre-Fantasy Supplement versions of Chainmail. "
Sure, it's at least conceivable. If, of course, you didn't understand that he talked about it for decades. And that there was litigation. And that, somehow, he never, ever, ever brought this up. Or Gygax. Or anyone.
And if you ignore the context of the quote- that he was talking about adding additional monsters to the matrix; which only makes sense (looking at Chainmail) if he's talking about the matrix with monsters in it. Which is the fantasy one. Or, for that matter, if you ignore all the other quotes from him. But, again, whatever. This whole thread is pointless.
Sure. It's conceivable. If you choose to ignore all the evidence that doesn't agree with you.