Menu
News
All News
Dungeons & Dragons
Level Up: Advanced 5th Edition
Pathfinder
Starfinder
Warhammer
2d20 System
Year Zero Engine
Industry News
Reviews
Dragon Reflections
Columns
Weekly Digests
Weekly News Digest
Freebies, Sales & Bundles
RPG Print News
RPG Crowdfunding News
Game Content
ENterplanetary DimENsions
Mythological Figures
Opinion
Worlds of Design
Peregrine's Next
RPG Evolution
Other Columns
From the Freelancing Frontline
Monster ENcyclopedia
WotC/TSR Alumni Look Back
4 Hours w/RSD (Ryan Dancey)
The Road to 3E (Jonathan Tweet)
Greenwood's Realms (Ed Greenwood)
Drawmij's TSR (Jim Ward)
Community
Forums & Topics
Forum List
Latest Posts
Forum list
*Dungeons & Dragons
Level Up: Advanced 5th Edition
D&D Older Editions
*TTRPGs General
*Pathfinder & Starfinder
EN Publishing
*Geek Talk & Media
Search forums
Chat/Discord
Resources
Wiki
Pages
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Downloads
Latest reviews
Search resources
EN Publishing
Store
EN5ider
Adventures in ZEITGEIST
Awfully Cheerful Engine
What's OLD is NEW
Judge Dredd & The Worlds Of 2000AD
War of the Burning Sky
Level Up: Advanced 5E
Events & Releases
Upcoming Events
Private Events
Featured Events
Socials!
Twitch
YouTube
Facebook (EN Publishing)
Facebook (EN World)
Twitter
Instagram
TikTok
Podcast
Features
Top 5 RPGs Compiled Charts 2004-Present
Adventure Game Industry Market Research Summary (RPGs) V1.0
Ryan Dancey: Acquiring TSR
Q&A With Gary Gygax
D&D Rules FAQs
TSR, WotC, & Paizo: A Comparative History
D&D Pronunciation Guide
Million Dollar TTRPG Kickstarters
Tabletop RPG Podcast Hall of Fame
Eric Noah's Unofficial D&D 3rd Edition News
D&D in the Mainstream
D&D & RPG History
About Morrus
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
Forums & Topics
Forum List
Latest Posts
Forum list
*Dungeons & Dragons
Level Up: Advanced 5th Edition
D&D Older Editions
*TTRPGs General
*Pathfinder & Starfinder
EN Publishing
*Geek Talk & Media
Search forums
Chat/Discord
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
The
VOIDRUNNER'S CODEX
is coming! Explore new worlds, fight oppressive empires, fend off fearsome aliens, and wield deadly psionics with this comprehensive boxed set expansion for 5E and A5E!
Community
General Tabletop Discussion
*Dungeons & Dragons
Fifth Age: A hard science fiction 5e conversion
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="ccooke" data-source="post: 6644270" data-attributes="member: 6695890"><p>Hmm. [MENTION=58172]Yaarel[/MENTION] has some interesting assumptions about the future, but they look too optimistic for me.</p><p></p><p>That's not to say that the singularity isn't possible, just that there hasn't been the evidence necessary to believe that it's happening. In particular, the predictions made about specific technologies definitely look to be unlikely to me. Technology doesn't spring into the mainstream fully formed; it appears gradually, in stages. Take the example of mind-to-mind telepathy over computer interfaces.</p><p></p><p>For that to be mainstream, there has to be a mainstream market for advanced mind-machine interfaces. That would require a mainstream market for basic mind-machine interfaces, which would require at least some market for rudimentary ones, which would require an actual product capable of bidirectional communication with the brain, which would require years worth of testing before governments would declare it safe. </p><p></p><p>That's just one part of it. We'd also have to be able to understand the brain in a vastly more complete way than we do now; the inklings of such technology seems to exist right now, but it's years away from being bidirectional and able to interface safely with the brain's sense of self. </p><p></p><p>We do not, at this point, actually know if two human brains are similar enough in the way that consciousness is implemented within them to be able to use a mass-produced system to interface at all; our current forays into the brain have not dealt with the conscious mind directly at all. </p><p></p><p>That's not, as I said, saying that this technology will never appear. But I do not believe it is possible for it to be mainstream by 2025. If a major breakthrough was made this year, and the ability to transmit a sentence trivially from one brain to another was proven and tested (and if some more profitable means of using the tech existed - controlling computers, vehicles, etc), then I'd expect the mainstream to have maybe the first rudimentary versions of the hardware coming out by 2025. Think the equivalent of the old brick mobile phones - and remember, mobile phones were not mainstream until the late 1990's or early 2000's - but they had been around since the early 1980s. Even with the accelerating pace of technology, it took about twenty years. </p><p></p><p>Speculation about the future is interesting because we simply cannot at this time know what is possible. Sometimes it's interesting to think about what it would be like if some of our predictions <strong>don't</strong> come true. What if there's no possible way to travel faster than light? What if there is, but we are never able to make a working AI that is more intelligent than we are?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ccooke, post: 6644270, member: 6695890"] Hmm. [MENTION=58172]Yaarel[/MENTION] has some interesting assumptions about the future, but they look too optimistic for me. That's not to say that the singularity isn't possible, just that there hasn't been the evidence necessary to believe that it's happening. In particular, the predictions made about specific technologies definitely look to be unlikely to me. Technology doesn't spring into the mainstream fully formed; it appears gradually, in stages. Take the example of mind-to-mind telepathy over computer interfaces. For that to be mainstream, there has to be a mainstream market for advanced mind-machine interfaces. That would require a mainstream market for basic mind-machine interfaces, which would require at least some market for rudimentary ones, which would require an actual product capable of bidirectional communication with the brain, which would require years worth of testing before governments would declare it safe. That's just one part of it. We'd also have to be able to understand the brain in a vastly more complete way than we do now; the inklings of such technology seems to exist right now, but it's years away from being bidirectional and able to interface safely with the brain's sense of self. We do not, at this point, actually know if two human brains are similar enough in the way that consciousness is implemented within them to be able to use a mass-produced system to interface at all; our current forays into the brain have not dealt with the conscious mind directly at all. That's not, as I said, saying that this technology will never appear. But I do not believe it is possible for it to be mainstream by 2025. If a major breakthrough was made this year, and the ability to transmit a sentence trivially from one brain to another was proven and tested (and if some more profitable means of using the tech existed - controlling computers, vehicles, etc), then I'd expect the mainstream to have maybe the first rudimentary versions of the hardware coming out by 2025. Think the equivalent of the old brick mobile phones - and remember, mobile phones were not mainstream until the late 1990's or early 2000's - but they had been around since the early 1980s. Even with the accelerating pace of technology, it took about twenty years. Speculation about the future is interesting because we simply cannot at this time know what is possible. Sometimes it's interesting to think about what it would be like if some of our predictions [B]don't[/B] come true. What if there's no possible way to travel faster than light? What if there is, but we are never able to make a working AI that is more intelligent than we are? [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Community
General Tabletop Discussion
*Dungeons & Dragons
Fifth Age: A hard science fiction 5e conversion
Top