pawsplay
Hero
No. I'm saying that some people who were not initially enamored of 4e would have eventually come to view active support as a selling point unto itself, and would have made the switch to the new edition, doing everything they can to fix their perceived problems with it. Are you really going to tell me that you don't think anyone views active support as a big enough draw to pull that one guy who didn't have enough of a reason to try 4e over the edge?
Everyone agrees with what you have just said here. Everyone. The problem is seem to be implying or hedging something beyond that, namely, that it's enough people actually impact Pathfinder's market share.
Few people who play Pathfinder agree with your intimation, because (I am speculating, but I think I am safe ground here) those same people know they would be playing 3e or something else. True, we are polling ourselves, but I have yet to see more than two or thee people ever say on these boards, "I play Pathfinder now, but if it hadn't come out I would totally have abandoned 3e and just switched to 4e." That slice would be larger among casual players, but again, probably not enough to impact the 3e market hugely, and probably not enough to keep an alternate universe Pathfinder from coming to market. If I am mistaking your intent, please correct me and let us all you know you were not thinking what I have suggested in this paragraph.
What you initially claimed was an absolute: that there wasn't anyone who decided to stick with the 3e-generation solely because of Pathfinder. I'm challenging that absolute.
No, that's just wrong. You seem to be mistakenly reading general nouns as though they were categorical definitions.