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<blockquote data-quote="Ruin Explorer" data-source="post: 8804950" data-attributes="member: 18"><p>What <em>exactly</em> did they say, though?</p><p></p><p>Because their own pinned trailer tweet has 11.1 million views, not 100m+. And the official D&D movie trailer has 17.7m views on YouTube (can probably add another 1m from the Australia version too).</p><p></p><p>Whereas if we look at Wakanda Forever, the first trailer has 40m views on YouTube, and the more recent one (two weeks ago) has 27m.</p><p></p><p>Avatar: The Way of Water, which some people claim "has no fans" and "nobody wants" has 25m views on YouTube on the official teaser trailer.</p><p></p><p>Violent Night, the "Santa Die Hard" movie trailer from 2 weeks ago has 29m views on YouTube! Obviously that's meme-y/dank as hell, and benefiting from that, but it's still quite a lot more in a lot shorter period. And I don't think that movie will actually do that well (just like Snakes on a Plane didn't).</p><p></p><p>So I think you might want to double-check the claim they were making (I can't find it in their Tweets myself - be interested if you can link it). If we're looking at say, just YouTube trailer views as an indicator of level of interest in a movie, and level of likely ticket sales, then we're looking at numbers that definitely indicate a successful movie, but not one that's going to be blowing minds with its box-office take.</p><p></p><p>The big difficulty here is the international factor. If this movie is big outside the US, the total take could be wild. But that is very hard to predict (even for the studios themselves), and generally the smarter and more witty the movie, the less well it does internationally, and the dumber and louder it is, the better it does (with some notable exceptions).</p><p></p><p>But if HAT makes significantly more than $400m international I will be very surprised - here are 2022's international grosses: <a href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world/?ref_=bo_nb_in_tab" target="_blank">2022 Worldwide Box Office</a></p><p></p><p>My guess is it does in the $200-300m range, which will be nice, and a success, but won't necessarily guarantee further D&D movies. It's also possible it'll just go absolutely nuclear, but I'd be surprised, given current apparent levels of interest.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ruin Explorer, post: 8804950, member: 18"] What [I]exactly[/I] did they say, though? Because their own pinned trailer tweet has 11.1 million views, not 100m+. And the official D&D movie trailer has 17.7m views on YouTube (can probably add another 1m from the Australia version too). Whereas if we look at Wakanda Forever, the first trailer has 40m views on YouTube, and the more recent one (two weeks ago) has 27m. Avatar: The Way of Water, which some people claim "has no fans" and "nobody wants" has 25m views on YouTube on the official teaser trailer. Violent Night, the "Santa Die Hard" movie trailer from 2 weeks ago has 29m views on YouTube! Obviously that's meme-y/dank as hell, and benefiting from that, but it's still quite a lot more in a lot shorter period. And I don't think that movie will actually do that well (just like Snakes on a Plane didn't). So I think you might want to double-check the claim they were making (I can't find it in their Tweets myself - be interested if you can link it). If we're looking at say, just YouTube trailer views as an indicator of level of interest in a movie, and level of likely ticket sales, then we're looking at numbers that definitely indicate a successful movie, but not one that's going to be blowing minds with its box-office take. The big difficulty here is the international factor. If this movie is big outside the US, the total take could be wild. But that is very hard to predict (even for the studios themselves), and generally the smarter and more witty the movie, the less well it does internationally, and the dumber and louder it is, the better it does (with some notable exceptions). But if HAT makes significantly more than $400m international I will be very surprised - here are 2022's international grosses: [URL='https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world/?ref_=bo_nb_in_tab']2022 Worldwide Box Office[/URL] My guess is it does in the $200-300m range, which will be nice, and a success, but won't necessarily guarantee further D&D movies. It's also possible it'll just go absolutely nuclear, but I'd be surprised, given current apparent levels of interest. [/QUOTE]
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